Too many forced changes are being made to the Australian team. I'm slightly having a confusion whether the bookmaker odds are short on Australia or they are absolutely wrong. If England wins today I won't be surprised.
I wouldn't say Australian replacements are bad. But the replacing players' form is not very convincing. Maxwell, White and Henriques may play tomorrow replacing Warner, Watson and Bailey. These are not vis-a-vis replacements. So that's another added worry.
The Bellarive Oval Stadium at Hobart is good for runs. I would be expecting the dew to play a factor and I'm favoring the chasing team very marginally.
There are many uncertainties. England's bowling can be an one-off performance. At the same time the form of Australian batsmen provides a suspicion of another batting collapse as the Indians did against England.
Bookmaker Odds Comparison:
Bookmaker | Australia | England |
Bet-At-Home | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
BetFair | - | - |
BetRally | 1.57 | 2.40 |
BoyleSports | 1.60 | 2.45 |
Ladbrokes | 1.61 | 2.25 |
Pinnacle | - | - |
Winner | 1.53 | 2.50 |
Tip
I'm not really convinced of many factors. So play very low stakes or don't play at all.
Chasing Team To Win - 1$
Swing of Fortunes @ 2.50 - In-Play - 1$
Bank as of 21-Jan: 308.13$
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