The series stands at 1-1 after 3 matches as the 3rd match got washed out because of rain. Let's try and predict what would be the result of this match as I had had two in two right this series.
First match was won by Kiwis. They actually struggled to chase 220 before Corey Anderson co-ordinated the chase to win the match. Mahela scored a century in that match to establish a fact that he never loses his form for longer whenever or wherever he plays.
Second match was all about Dilshan guiding the chase. But there was a technical similarity occurred between these 2 matches. In both the matches teams chasing won. Teams batting first lost the momentum by losing flurry of late order wickets.
So the third match too I expected it to follow similar lines. Rain arrived and no more play was possible to end as a no result.
Fourth match also will not be different in my opinion. The primary reason being the number of changes the Kiwis are making. Some of these changes are forced, some are related to
workload management. New Zealand batting is largely inconsistent because of this instability the team management brings in. To add to it, their batsmen are woefully out of form Except McCullum.
Nelson is the venue. The weather is expected to be clear. The pitch remains a mystery. Throughout the series the Sri Lanka spinners got good purchase. One can expect that behavior to continue. I expected the series to go to the team who is technically superior. Now the way things are going I'm favoring Sri Lanka.
Bookmaker Odds Comparison:
| Bookmaker | New Zealand | Sri Lanka |
| Bet-At-Home | 1.50 | 2.35 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| BetFair | 1.57 | 2.40 |
| BetRally | 1.60 | 2.35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60 | 2.35 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 2.74 |
| Winner | 1.53 | 2.37 |
Tip
Low stakes considering the swinging nature of this series.
Sri Lanka @ 2.74 - 3$ - Pinnacle
Swin of fortunes: Sri Lanka at pre-match odds and pick New Zealand above evens - 5$.
Bank as of 15-Jan: 270.25$
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