Toss is delayed due to last Match.
Barbados wins toss and chasing. Already a lot of dew is there.
BT 67/3 in 11 overs. Wait for Ish Sodhi to finish his spell. If no more wickets lost by then, Pick Barbados.
Barbados @ 2/7 - 21 units
Tuesday 30 September 2014
30-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - LL v PRS - In-Play Tips
Lahore Lions v Perth Scorchers
Perth have won the toss and chose to field.
Bancroft and Cartwright replace Voges and Coulter-Nile. Umar Siddiq, Mohammad Saeed replace Shehzad and Agha Salman
The rain has stopped. LL are at 7/4 with BetVictor
Lahore Lions Total Runs - Over 133.5 - 2 Units
Pick Lahore Lions @ 4/1 - 0.5 Units
I expected Lahore to recover to 130+ score. But they settle with 124.
Pick Perth @ 1/8 - 24 units
First wicket down. Odds are good now. Perth @ 1/5 - 5 units
Brought me the memories of Pakistan v South Africa - World Cup T20 Match where Umar Gul made them win similarly.
That sets me with 1.5 units profit.
Perth have won the toss and chose to field.
Bancroft and Cartwright replace Voges and Coulter-Nile. Umar Siddiq, Mohammad Saeed replace Shehzad and Agha Salman
The rain has stopped. LL are at 7/4 with BetVictor
Lahore Lions Total Runs - Over 133.5 - 2 Units
Pick Lahore Lions @ 4/1 - 0.5 Units
I expected Lahore to recover to 130+ score. But they settle with 124.
Pick Perth @ 1/8 - 24 units
First wicket down. Odds are good now. Perth @ 1/5 - 5 units
Brought me the memories of Pakistan v South Africa - World Cup T20 Match where Umar Gul made them win similarly.
That sets me with 1.5 units profit.
30-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - PRS v LL - More Insights
Match# 19 - Lahore Lions v Perth Scorchers
Lahore Lions
7th Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even - 1 Unit
15th Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even - 1 Unit
Perth Scorchers
Ashton Turner - Dismissal method - Caught - 1/2 - 0.5 Units
Lahore Lions
7th Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even - 1 Unit
15th Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even - 1 Unit
Perth Scorchers
Ashton Turner - Dismissal method - Caught - 1/2 - 0.5 Units
CL T20 - Stat-Attack #2
Have you ever burnt your purse by playing some martingale strategies for quick bucks! Then this is a working strategy for you.
Me and one of my betting circle friends were discussing about strategies yesterday. I told him my favorite market is Dismissal Method [As you would have seen from some of my insights]. He said it's nearly impossible to make money in that market because of the unpredictability. I proved him wrong by showing my strategy.
My strategy is very simple. Pick a batsman who has scored a minimum of 30 runs to get out caught.
This table below shows the stats from this CL T20.
If you had just picked Dismissal Method - Caught after a batsman scoring 30, you would have won 39 bets with general odds of 1/2, lost 16 and 27 bets going void. Which finally translates to 82 bets (Say 1 bet = 1$), you would have ended with 3.5$ (4.37%) profit.
But I do a martingale on these bets and I expect 0.1% of my purse for each bet. Right now at this point of this tournament, I am standing at a neat 8.2% returns.
But one can see if a batsman scores a 50, the chances of getting out caught goes down. This is because batsmen tend to get more aggressive after their 50. One can also cover their investments after a batsman reaches 50, which will reduce the risk in this strategy.
1) It is hard to predict how an unsettled batsmen will choose to play.
2) Match-Fixing/Spot-Fixing. If a batsman is ready to throw his wicket away, he will take any means necessary to get out early [What if the dismissal method market is itself fixed??].
Simple. No one would believe. This is not a get rich quick scheme. These are all my tried and tested strategies to make money. It needs a lot of time and patience to strike at the right moment. That's were gamblers lose money and complain no one can make money in Cricket Betting. So I wanted to show my safer methods first and then the more riskier ones.
Also I don't cover the returns of my personal strategies in the Bank I am showing. These are medium-high risk strategies. One has to be very careful while applying these strategies.I have separate purses for each strategy.
I'll let you know how I make money. But you must take necessary caution before doing so. My Stat-Attacks will follow with more strategies like this.
Me and one of my betting circle friends were discussing about strategies yesterday. I told him my favorite market is Dismissal Method [As you would have seen from some of my insights]. He said it's nearly impossible to make money in that market because of the unpredictability. I proved him wrong by showing my strategy.
My strategy is very simple. Pick a batsman who has scored a minimum of 30 runs to get out caught.
This table below shows the stats from this CL T20.
| 50+ | 30-49 | Combined | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Match# | Caught | Other | Not Out | Caught | Other | Not Out | Caught | Other | Not Out | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 16 | 27 | |||||||||||||||
If you had just picked Dismissal Method - Caught after a batsman scoring 30, you would have won 39 bets with general odds of 1/2, lost 16 and 27 bets going void. Which finally translates to 82 bets (Say 1 bet = 1$), you would have ended with 3.5$ (4.37%) profit.
But I do a martingale on these bets and I expect 0.1% of my purse for each bet. Right now at this point of this tournament, I am standing at a neat 8.2% returns.
But one can see if a batsman scores a 50, the chances of getting out caught goes down. This is because batsmen tend to get more aggressive after their 50. One can also cover their investments after a batsman reaches 50, which will reduce the risk in this strategy.
Why Batsmen with Scores Above 30?
1) It is hard to predict how an unsettled batsmen will choose to play.
2) Match-Fixing/Spot-Fixing. If a batsman is ready to throw his wicket away, he will take any means necessary to get out early [What if the dismissal method market is itself fixed??].
Why I haven't covered this strategy earlier in my blog?
Simple. No one would believe. This is not a get rich quick scheme. These are all my tried and tested strategies to make money. It needs a lot of time and patience to strike at the right moment. That's were gamblers lose money and complain no one can make money in Cricket Betting. So I wanted to show my safer methods first and then the more riskier ones.
Also I don't cover the returns of my personal strategies in the Bank I am showing. These are medium-high risk strategies. One has to be very careful while applying these strategies.I have separate purses for each strategy.
I'll let you know how I make money. But you must take necessary caution before doing so. My Stat-Attacks will follow with more strategies like this.
Monday 29 September 2014
30-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Tips
Lahore Lions v Perth Scorchers
CricBuzz Preview
CricInfo Preview
In my opinion only two factors will be affecting this match.
1) Lahore has to play aggressively to win by a huge margin, against a team like Perth it is not very easy. How will Lahore convert their aggressiveness, as a win or as a loss?
2) Perth batsmen's ability to play spin is not convincing, but Lahore spinners are also inconsistent. Will Lahore's spin department stand up against the Perth batting line up.
Barbados Tridents v Northern Districts
Both these teams have not qualified to the semi finals. So this match is a dead rubber. You can somewhat relate these teams to other two teams that are playing today.
Barbados - Lahore
Good batting units. But only 2 batsmen will do the scoring. Great bowling options, but performance is inconsistent. Spin bowling is their real power.
Perth - Northerns
Showed great potential. Balanced batting and bowling units. Once dark horses to win this tournament, now both eliminated.
So both matches point to a factor that any team can surprise any team. As per my Stat-Attack yesterday, favorites streak is extended a lot. But it is also difficult to say, will it end today. So my tip today will take a different route.
Tip
Match 1
Play for swing of fortunes @ 2/1 on both teams In-Play. 1 unit
Match 2
If you get the above said odds on match 1 play the same again for Match 2 with 0.5 units. Otherwise increase the units to 2.5 (Martingale)
CricBuzz Preview
CricInfo Preview
In my opinion only two factors will be affecting this match.
1) Lahore has to play aggressively to win by a huge margin, against a team like Perth it is not very easy. How will Lahore convert their aggressiveness, as a win or as a loss?
2) Perth batsmen's ability to play spin is not convincing, but Lahore spinners are also inconsistent. Will Lahore's spin department stand up against the Perth batting line up.
Barbados Tridents v Northern Districts
Both these teams have not qualified to the semi finals. So this match is a dead rubber. You can somewhat relate these teams to other two teams that are playing today.
Barbados - Lahore
Good batting units. But only 2 batsmen will do the scoring. Great bowling options, but performance is inconsistent. Spin bowling is their real power.
Perth - Northerns
Showed great potential. Balanced batting and bowling units. Once dark horses to win this tournament, now both eliminated.
So both matches point to a factor that any team can surprise any team. As per my Stat-Attack yesterday, favorites streak is extended a lot. But it is also difficult to say, will it end today. So my tip today will take a different route.
Tip
Match 1
Play for swing of fortunes @ 2/1 on both teams In-Play. 1 unit
Match 2
If you get the above said odds on match 1 play the same again for Match 2 with 0.5 units. Otherwise increase the units to 2.5 (Martingale)
What Do We Have in October!
This week [29-Sep to 5-Oct] marks the end of the CL T20 and new set of series' begin.
International
India v West Indies begins on 8-Oct with 5 ODIs, 1 T20, 3 Tests.
Pakistan v Australia begins on 5-Oct with 3 ODIs, 1 T20, 2 Tests.
New Zealand v South Africa begins on 21-Oct with 3 ODIs.
Bangladesh v Zimbabwe begins on 25-Oct with 5 ODIs and 3 Tests [1 Test in Oct, remaining matches in Nov]
So a total of 11 ODIs, 2 T20s and 6 Test Matches are happening at the International level.
Domestic
I am eagerly expecting Matador BBQ One-Day series to begin [4-Oct to 26-Oct with 23 Matches]. Looks like Bet365 and BetVictor are covering this series.
Momentum One-Day cup - 17 One-Days in October. But I am not sure how many bookmakers cover this series.
Anyways, More Money from Cricket is coming! Let's cash it!!
International
India v West Indies begins on 8-Oct with 5 ODIs, 1 T20, 3 Tests.
Pakistan v Australia begins on 5-Oct with 3 ODIs, 1 T20, 2 Tests.
New Zealand v South Africa begins on 21-Oct with 3 ODIs.
Bangladesh v Zimbabwe begins on 25-Oct with 5 ODIs and 3 Tests [1 Test in Oct, remaining matches in Nov]
So a total of 11 ODIs, 2 T20s and 6 Test Matches are happening at the International level.
Domestic
I am eagerly expecting Matador BBQ One-Day series to begin [4-Oct to 26-Oct with 23 Matches]. Looks like Bet365 and BetVictor are covering this series.
Momentum One-Day cup - 17 One-Days in October. But I am not sure how many bookmakers cover this series.
Anyways, More Money from Cricket is coming! Let's cash it!!
Champions League T20 - Odds For The Upcoming Matches [30-Sep-2014]
I have got the odds for the upcoming CL T20 Matches from BetVictor
30-Sep-2014 - Match #19 - Lahore Lions v Perth Scorchers
Lahore Lions -10/11
Perth Scorchers - 10/11
30-Sep-2014 - Match #20 - Barbados Tridents v Northern Districts
Barbados Tridents -6/4
Northern Districts - 8/15
30-Sep-2014 - Match #19 - Lahore Lions v Perth Scorchers
Lahore Lions -10/11
Perth Scorchers - 10/11
30-Sep-2014 - Match #20 - Barbados Tridents v Northern Districts
Barbados Tridents -6/4
Northern Districts - 8/15
29-Sep-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions
Match Tip
Dolphins @ 13/8 - 1 unit - Lost
Insights
On Team Batting First
2nd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units - Won
3rd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units - Won
4th Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units - Lost
Dolphins
Daryn Smit - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 1 Units - Void
Andile Phehlukwayo - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units - Lost
Keshav Maharaj - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units - Void
In-Play Tip
KKR @ 1/14 - 28 units - Won
Overall
-1+0.83+0.83-1-0.5+2 = 1.16 units profit
Dolphins @ 13/8 - 1 unit - Lost
Insights
On Team Batting First
2nd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units - Won
3rd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units - Won
4th Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units - Lost
Dolphins
Daryn Smit - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 1 Units - Void
Andile Phehlukwayo - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units - Lost
Keshav Maharaj - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units - Void
In-Play Tip
KKR @ 1/14 - 28 units - Won
Overall
-1+0.83+0.83-1-0.5+2 = 1.16 units profit
29-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - KKR v Dolphins - More Insights
On Team Batting First
2nd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units
3rd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units
4th Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units
Dolphins
Daryn Smit - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 1 Units
Andile Phehlukwayo - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units
Keshav Maharaj - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units - Void
2nd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units
3rd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units
4th Over Runs - Odd/Even - Even @ 5/6 - 1 Units
Dolphins
Daryn Smit - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 1 Units
Andile Phehlukwayo - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units
Keshav Maharaj - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units - Void
29-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Kolkata Knight Riders v Sunfoil Dolphins
Only 3 matches to go into the semi finals. Three teams have made the cut. Chennai Super Kings should wait till the last match to know whether its them or Lahore Lions in the semi's.
Yesterday I didn't analyze much. Because it was not required. It's not the case for today. The odds are 1/3 on KKR, which I'm not comfortable in the first place. KKR has already made it to the semi's. They may try and test their bench strength. Kallis and Uthappa are not completely out of their injuries. So factors are not adding up to show 1/3 is a good value.
Tip
To be updated. Pitch, Toss and Squad details are required to make a decision.
Update
No clear news on pitch yet. Wait till the end of Kolkata innings. Do not enter the match
Update 2
Looks like a bowling track but lot of dew in the air. Pick Dolphins @ 13/8 - 1 unit.
Yesterday I didn't analyze much. Because it was not required. It's not the case for today. The odds are 1/3 on KKR, which I'm not comfortable in the first place. KKR has already made it to the semi's. They may try and test their bench strength. Kallis and Uthappa are not completely out of their injuries. So factors are not adding up to show 1/3 is a good value.
Tip
To be updated. Pitch, Toss and Squad details are required to make a decision.
Update
No clear news on pitch yet. Wait till the end of Kolkata innings. Do not enter the match
Update 2
Looks like a bowling track but lot of dew in the air. Pick Dolphins @ 13/8 - 1 unit.
13-28 -Sep-2014 - Review of Bank
Again I review the Bank status for the first 16 days. One bad day downgraded an excellent month to a great month :(
I stood at a total of 29.48 Units [Or 14.74%] Profit at the end of 21-Sep. The In-Play tip on 27-Sep, spoiled this week's returns.
So I am currently at a small loss of 0.04 units this week. Overall Bank is at 29.44 Units [Or 14.72%] Profit.
Update
Here's how the Match Predictions have performed.
I stood at a total of 29.48 Units [Or 14.74%] Profit at the end of 21-Sep. The In-Play tip on 27-Sep, spoiled this week's returns.
| 13-21 Sep | 22-Sep | 23-Sep | 24-Sep | 25-Sep | 26-Sep | 27-Sep | 28-Sep | Total | |
| Pre-Match Tip | 11.96 | -0.50 | 0.83 | 0.44 | - | 1.23 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 15.84 |
| In-Play | 17.52 | 2.00 | - | 6.08 | -12.00 | 13.60 |
So I am currently at a small loss of 0.04 units this week. Overall Bank is at 29.44 Units [Or 14.72%] Profit.
Update
Here's how the Match Predictions have performed.
| Total matches | 17 |
| Avoided | 2 |
| Void | 1 |
| No Result | 1 |
| Sub Total | 13 |
| Tips Won | 11 |
| Tips Lost | 2 |
| Win % | 84.62% |
CL T20 - Stat-Attack #1
Some interesting stats from CL T20 Main Round matches, that I'll be using for devising my strategies for the next (and final) 6 matches of this tournament.
How did I started predicting the initial matches of the main draw? I used the qualifier matches as indicators to do the main round analysis.
This is the very basic stat that one has to go through. In T20 chasing teams always have an advantage, which is evident from this table.
Note : This is not exactly a statistical analysis. This is a gambler's analysis to predict how the future results may be affected.
How do I read this stat
Out of the 17 matches 1 got washed out because of rain. So 16 matches are under consideration.
Chasing teams have won 10 out of 16 matches. So Chasing vs Batting First = 10:6.
Favorites are leading by 14:2. There are little surprises in this tournament. So if you had gone In-Play and picked the favorites at higher prices you are on tremendous profit.
Chennai lost the match Batting First even though they are the favorites. Hobart did the reverse, the non-favorites defended their total. These two matches followed slightly different pattern from the remaining matches. I got both those matches right, by combining my analysis based on team strength and the pattern analysis.
I started sidelining with the non-favorites from Match#8. At that time favorites were on a streak of 6 matches. But my tip lost on that match , but in Match#9 I got it right when the streak was broken. Now you can see another favorite streak of 7 matches from Match#10 to Match#17.
What will you do now!! Only a gambling addict/fool will sideline with the favorites right now. One must be patient and analyze as many factors as possible before jumping into a match.
The options available are
1) Simply start a martingale on the non-favorites with small stakes.
2) Enter on non-favorites Pre-Match and cover your investments when favorites are under trouble.
3) Play the favorites with very small stakes till an upset happens.
History repeats itself, at the same time its meant to be broken as well.
So identify when The History Will Repeat and when The History Will Be Broken :)
More stats to follow as separate posts [Do not expect more today, it'll be done whenever I find time].
How did I started predicting the initial matches of the main draw? I used the qualifier matches as indicators to do the main round analysis.
This is the very basic stat that one has to go through. In T20 chasing teams always have an advantage, which is evident from this table.
Note : This is not exactly a statistical analysis. This is a gambler's analysis to predict how the future results may be affected.
| Match # | Team A | Team B | Result | Favourites? | Chasing? | My Match Tip |
| 1 | Chennai | Kolkata | Kolkata | No | Yes | Void |
| 2 | Hobart | Punjab | Punjab | Yes | Yes | Won |
| 3 | Cobras | Northern | Northern | Yes | No | Won |
| 4 | Dolphins | Perth | Perth | Yes | Yes | Avoided |
| 5 | Barbados | Punjab | Punjab | Yes | Yes | Won |
| 6 | Cobras | Hobart | Hobart | Yes | Yes | Won |
| 7 | Kolkata | Lahore | Kolkata | Yes | Yes | Won |
| 8 | Chennai | Dolphins | Chennai | Yes | No | Lost |
| 9 | Hobart | Northern | Hobart | No | No | Won |
| 10 | Kolkata | Perth | Kolkata | Yes | Yes | Won |
| 11 | Chennai | Lahore | NR | NR | NR | NR |
| 12 | Barbados | Cobras | Cobras | Yes | Yes | Won |
| 13 | Punjab | Northern | Punjab | Yes | No | Avoided |
| 14 | Dolphins | Lahore | Lahore | Yes | No | Lost |
| 15 | Chennai | Perth | Chennai | Yes | No | Won |
| 16 | Barbados | Hobart | Hobart | Yes | Yes | Won |
| 17 | Cobras | Punjab | Punjab | Yes | Yes | Won |
How do I read this stat
Out of the 17 matches 1 got washed out because of rain. So 16 matches are under consideration.
Chasing teams have won 10 out of 16 matches. So Chasing vs Batting First = 10:6.
Favorites are leading by 14:2. There are little surprises in this tournament. So if you had gone In-Play and picked the favorites at higher prices you are on tremendous profit.
Chennai lost the match Batting First even though they are the favorites. Hobart did the reverse, the non-favorites defended their total. These two matches followed slightly different pattern from the remaining matches. I got both those matches right, by combining my analysis based on team strength and the pattern analysis.
I started sidelining with the non-favorites from Match#8. At that time favorites were on a streak of 6 matches. But my tip lost on that match , but in Match#9 I got it right when the streak was broken. Now you can see another favorite streak of 7 matches from Match#10 to Match#17.
What will you do now!! Only a gambling addict/fool will sideline with the favorites right now. One must be patient and analyze as many factors as possible before jumping into a match.
The options available are
1) Simply start a martingale on the non-favorites with small stakes.
2) Enter on non-favorites Pre-Match and cover your investments when favorites are under trouble.
3) Play the favorites with very small stakes till an upset happens.
History repeats itself, at the same time its meant to be broken as well.
So identify when The History Will Repeat and when The History Will Be Broken :)
More stats to follow as separate posts [Do not expect more today, it'll be done whenever I find time].
Sunday 28 September 2014
28-Sep-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions
After an unlucky day things are back on track. Both the match tips won today. I stayed out of In-Play today to make adjustments to my betting strategies.
Daily blog views are remarkably down from yesterday. But it makes me happy since I can realize the loyal followers I have. I hope the 20 viewers who came back today, do understand betting properly.
Hobart @ 4/9 - 1 unit - Won
KXIP @ 4/9 - 1 unit - Won
Overall Profit : 0.88 Units
Congrats for the ones who went for the double.
Daily blog views are remarkably down from yesterday. But it makes me happy since I can realize the loyal followers I have. I hope the 20 viewers who came back today, do understand betting properly.
Hobart @ 4/9 - 1 unit - Won
KXIP @ 4/9 - 1 unit - Won
Overall Profit : 0.88 Units
Congrats for the ones who went for the double.
28-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Tips
Barbados Tridents v Hobart Hurricanes
Barbados are repeatedly making high scores. But in every game only two batsmen are scoring. They have the match under control before the final overs, but their death bowling leaks runs which completely throws the match out of their hands.
Kings XI Punjab v Cape Cobras
Looks like a spinning track today also. Cape Cobras has very little chance then.
Tips
Hobart @ 4/9 - 1 unit
KXIP @ 4/9 - 1 unit
Note: You can also go for a double which pays 11/10.
Barbados are repeatedly making high scores. But in every game only two batsmen are scoring. They have the match under control before the final overs, but their death bowling leaks runs which completely throws the match out of their hands.
Kings XI Punjab v Cape Cobras
Looks like a spinning track today also. Cape Cobras has very little chance then.
Tips
Hobart @ 4/9 - 1 unit
KXIP @ 4/9 - 1 unit
Note: You can also go for a double which pays 11/10.
Saturday 27 September 2014
27-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Review of Tips and Suggestions
Very disappointed by Dolphins' performance. They had the match on their bag for the first 11 overs.
Match Tip
Dolphins - 11/10 - 1 Unit - Lost - -1 Unit
CSK @ 2/5 - 5 units - Won - 2 Units
In Play Tip
Dolphins @ 1/4 - 12 units - Lost - -12 Units
-1-12+2 = -11 Units Loss.
Match Tip
Dolphins - 11/10 - 1 Unit - Lost - -1 Unit
CSK @ 2/5 - 5 units - Won - 2 Units
In Play Tip
Dolphins @ 1/4 - 12 units - Lost - -12 Units
-1-12+2 = -11 Units Loss.
27-Sep-2014 - Dolphins v LL - In-Play Tips
LL are 42/4. Pick Dolphins @ 1/4 - 12 units.
Dolphins had the upper hand for the first 11 overs. After that its all Lahore Lions.
I'm not worried as bank was standing at 40 units yesterday. My target per month is only 12-20 units. After this loss I am still standing above that target.
Dolphins had the upper hand for the first 11 overs. After that its all Lahore Lions.
I'm not worried as bank was standing at 40 units yesterday. My target per month is only 12-20 units. After this loss I am still standing above that target.
Friday 26 September 2014
27-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Chennai Super Kings v Perth Scorchers
This tournament has been criticized by everyone, because of the unfair advantage IPL teams are getting. 3 IPL teams qualify directly and 1 through qualifiers. They don't travel, they play on the same ground. To make matters worse yesterday KXIP got a spinner friendly track at Mohali. So Northerns has no chance. I expect the same today to happen at Bangalore, because BCCI wants CSK to qualify desperately.
Both the teams are shallow on their bowling. But PS are holding a slight edge. Both have strong batting units, CSK are better in batting.
Rain is a major threat in Bangalore today also. Dew is also a factor. Both combined together chasing teams are expected to fare better.
Tip
Spin track as expected.
CSK @ 2/5 - 5 units
Both the teams are shallow on their bowling. But PS are holding a slight edge. Both have strong batting units, CSK are better in batting.
Rain is a major threat in Bangalore today also. Dew is also a factor. Both combined together chasing teams are expected to fare better.
Tip
Spin track as expected.
CSK @ 2/5 - 5 units
27-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Sunfoil Dolphins v Lahore Lions
Which team's underperforming bowling department will undermine the others batting?
Looking at the batting and bowling strengths, I am thinking Dolphins have the ability win this match. Fielding department wise Dolphins are very strong.
Tip
Sunfoil Dolphins - 11/10 - 1 Unit - BetVictor.com
Looking at the batting and bowling strengths, I am thinking Dolphins have the ability win this match. Fielding department wise Dolphins are very strong.
Tip
Sunfoil Dolphins - 11/10 - 1 Unit - BetVictor.com
26-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Review of Tips and Suggestions
Yesterday was a very profitable day.
Cape Cobras @ 8/13 - 2 Units - Won - 1.23 Units
3rd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Odd @ 5/6 - 1 Units - Won - 0.83 Units
Omphile Ramela - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units - Lost - -0.5 Units
Dane Vilas - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units - Won - 0.25 Units
Robin Peterson - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 1 Units - Won - 0.5 Units
Cape Cobras @ 8/11 - 5.5 Units - Won - 4 Units
Cover on Barbados Tridents @ 7/2 - 1 Units - Lost - -1 Units
KXIP @ 1/12 - 24 Units - Won - 2 Units
1.23+0.83-0.5+0.25+0.5+4-1+2=7.31 Units - Overall
Cape Cobras @ 8/13 - 2 Units - Won - 1.23 Units
3rd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Odd @ 5/6 - 1 Units - Won - 0.83 Units
Omphile Ramela - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units - Lost - -0.5 Units
Dane Vilas - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units - Won - 0.25 Units
Robin Peterson - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 1 Units - Won - 0.5 Units
Cape Cobras @ 8/11 - 5.5 Units - Won - 4 Units
Cover on Barbados Tridents @ 7/2 - 1 Units - Lost - -1 Units
KXIP @ 1/12 - 24 Units - Won - 2 Units
1.23+0.83-0.5+0.25+0.5+4-1+2=7.31 Units - Overall
26-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - KXIP v ND - In-Play Tips
KXIP 120/1 in 10 overs.
KXIP @ 1/12 - 24 Units. Proper trashing going on
KXIP @ 1/12 - 24 Units. Proper trashing going on
26-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Kings XI Punjab v Northern Districts
CL T20 - Group B
Match# 13
Kings XI Punjab (KXIP) v Northern Districts (ND)
The equation of the match is very simple.
KXIP's batting v ND's bowling. Which one will Stand Up or Fail?
KXIP are very inconsistent with the bat, but their batting depth has been saving them. Finally the fatigue has started showing it's presence on ND, their bowling looks shaky now.
Except Perera nobody looks good on the bowling front of KXIP. ND has worries with Boult leaking runs.
Deciding Factor
The venue is Mohali and it's an evening match. Dew factor was a big issue in the last match. So the chasing team has an advantage.
If KXIP chases, the NDs strong suit (Bowling) is expected to suffer. If ND chases, KXIP does not have enough bowling to stop them.
So its finally based on what score is optimum. I feel that 175-190+ is only the safer score for the team Batting First. 140-170s is very risky.
Tip
To be updated after Toss and Squad announcements
Update
Not many changes in the squads. Northerns are chasing. Still not convinced because of the way the previous match went. Chasing teams have won 5 matches in a row in Mohali now. Wait and watch. To be updated again after the end of KXIP innings.
Match# 13
Kings XI Punjab (KXIP) v Northern Districts (ND)
The equation of the match is very simple.
KXIP's batting v ND's bowling. Which one will Stand Up or Fail?
KXIP are very inconsistent with the bat, but their batting depth has been saving them. Finally the fatigue has started showing it's presence on ND, their bowling looks shaky now.
Except Perera nobody looks good on the bowling front of KXIP. ND has worries with Boult leaking runs.
Deciding Factor
The venue is Mohali and it's an evening match. Dew factor was a big issue in the last match. So the chasing team has an advantage.
If KXIP chases, the NDs strong suit (Bowling) is expected to suffer. If ND chases, KXIP does not have enough bowling to stop them.
So its finally based on what score is optimum. I feel that 175-190+ is only the safer score for the team Batting First. 140-170s is very risky.
Tip
To be updated after Toss and Squad announcements
Update
Not many changes in the squads. Northerns are chasing. Still not convinced because of the way the previous match went. Chasing teams have won 5 matches in a row in Mohali now. Wait and watch. To be updated again after the end of KXIP innings.
26-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - BT v CC - In-Play Tips
BT 77/2 in 10 Overs. CC are now priced @ 8/11 - BetVictor.
If Munaweera gets out shortly, BT has very little batting left after that. Wait and Watch.
12 Overs 97/3. Cape Cobras are still 8/11 with BetVictor. Ride CC with 5.5 Units
Start covering your investment with higher odds on BT. CC are painfully struggling against spin.
If Munaweera gets out shortly, BT has very little batting left after that. Wait and Watch.
12 Overs 97/3. Cape Cobras are still 8/11 with BetVictor. Ride CC with 5.5 Units
Start covering your investment with higher odds on BT. CC are painfully struggling against spin.
26-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - BT v CC - More Insights
Barbados Tridents
3rd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Odd @ 5/6 - 1 Units
Cape Cobras
Omphile Ramela - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units
Dane Vilas - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units
Robin Peterson - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 1 Units
3rd Over Runs - Odd/Even - Odd @ 5/6 - 1 Units
Cape Cobras
Omphile Ramela - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units
Dane Vilas - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 0.5 Units
Robin Peterson - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 1 Units
26-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Barbados Tridents v Cape Cobras
CL T20 - Group B
Match# 12
Barbados Tridents (BT) v Cape Cobras (CC)
Whenever I see double headers, I try to brain storm with my buddies to come to a conclusion. Oh boy! How diversified our point of views about these two matches.
One thing every one agreed though, BT has a weaker batting and CC has a weaker bowling, which doesn't appear so evidently from the previous results of these teams.
Why BT's Batting is Weak:
In their previous match analysis I have mentioned the trio of Smith, Pollard and Malik has score 60-70% of BT's runs in the Caribbean Premier League. If you take the last match too, 110 out of 174 (63%) came from two batsmen.
Why CC's Bowling is Weak:
Langeveldt, Philander, Kleinveldt, Peterson are going for 10 runs per over. If you start your spell well, you must end it also well. Going for 15-20 runs in your last over spoils your figure and your teams cause.
CC's Dane Piedt won't play, so their spin bowling department has taken a beating. But the BT squad looks like a one which can manage spin, so I don't have a problem of him missing out. Dew won't be a big factor for this match. Spinners can play comfortably. How good CC are against spin? I don't know.
Mohali is a true batting venue also which supports pace bowling. With BT's batting weakness and CC's pace bowling department is reasonable, I am slightly biased towards CC.
But I am not thoroughly convinced yet. Waiting for the Toss to finalize my decision.
Squad/Toss Update
Shane Dowrich with a rich Caribbean Premier League experience is in for BT. His last 5 scores are 9, 9, 3, 18, 0 .
Also spinner Akeal Hosein plays for BT. He also has a rich experience in CPL. Last seven matches he has taken a mind blowing Zero wickets.
Justin Kemp is in for Cobras. Cobras batting looks stronger.
Cobras won the Toss and bowling. Chasing is easier here. Pick Cobras.
Tip
Cape Cobras @ 8/13 - 2 Units - Bet365.Com
Match# 12
Barbados Tridents (BT) v Cape Cobras (CC)
Whenever I see double headers, I try to brain storm with my buddies to come to a conclusion. Oh boy! How diversified our point of views about these two matches.
One thing every one agreed though, BT has a weaker batting and CC has a weaker bowling, which doesn't appear so evidently from the previous results of these teams.
Why BT's Batting is Weak:
In their previous match analysis I have mentioned the trio of Smith, Pollard and Malik has score 60-70% of BT's runs in the Caribbean Premier League. If you take the last match too, 110 out of 174 (63%) came from two batsmen.
Why CC's Bowling is Weak:
Langeveldt, Philander, Kleinveldt, Peterson are going for 10 runs per over. If you start your spell well, you must end it also well. Going for 15-20 runs in your last over spoils your figure and your teams cause.
CC's Dane Piedt won't play, so their spin bowling department has taken a beating. But the BT squad looks like a one which can manage spin, so I don't have a problem of him missing out. Dew won't be a big factor for this match. Spinners can play comfortably. How good CC are against spin? I don't know.
Mohali is a true batting venue also which supports pace bowling. With BT's batting weakness and CC's pace bowling department is reasonable, I am slightly biased towards CC.
But I am not thoroughly convinced yet. Waiting for the Toss to finalize my decision.
Squad/Toss Update
Shane Dowrich with a rich Caribbean Premier League experience is in for BT. His last 5 scores are 9, 9, 3, 18, 0 .
Also spinner Akeal Hosein plays for BT. He also has a rich experience in CPL. Last seven matches he has taken a mind blowing Zero wickets.
Justin Kemp is in for Cobras. Cobras batting looks stronger.
Cobras won the Toss and bowling. Chasing is easier here. Pick Cobras.
Tip
Cape Cobras @ 8/13 - 2 Units - Bet365.Com
Thursday 25 September 2014
26-Sep-2014 - My Thoughts on My Blog
In my previous article, I have set myself a target of 1000 total hits within a year. Right now I have achieved 500 hits in a span of 15 days. On an average I'm getting 30 hits a day. If I go about 30 hits a day I will achieve 10000 hits in a year (10 times my target), which is more than enough. I want to build a set of consistent and quality followers.
Last 2 days have been a bit slow. I was getting 60+ hits, which has fallen down to 40. As I know the reasons behind the loss of interest, I am not worried much.
The slight dip traffic is basically because of these following reasons:
1) I have been giving only match tips for the past few days. No In-Play Tips, no additional Insights. This is basically because I was analyzing the details that are required to make my blog successful over long term. I need this time to figure out the quality and quantity that I can produce and manage, apart from my primary job responsibilities.
2) I should have been adding more Cricket Betting related info. My analysis of the tips may be a bit complex for the casual/new Cricket betting players. So I am planning to add more info pages related to each and every market.
3) The returns that I'm showing are not eye-catching. This will never happen, as I'm freely sharing a cricket betting system, where you can make money only in a longer term, through quality analysis of the factors and carefully choosing where and how to invest.
I am a true believer of the Power of Compounding. If I make 6% profit a month with less risk, then I make 100% in a year. So If I start with 100$ I'll be a Millionaire in 10 years. This month my Bank sits at a comfortable 15% profit in 15 days.
4) For experienced Cricket Betting players: News, Fixtures, Stadium/Pitch details and Comparison of Prices among Bookmakers will add value. This will only make them come back. And I'm working on it.
5) The other technical factors related to World Wide Web starting from Google. I don't have a site on my own, so I have no control over this right now :(
As I have got the hits from 17 different countries, I am hopeful and simply waiting for the word of mouth to spread.
Thanks akviilee for giving me First and Only Like till date.Without you I don't think I would have been noticed this fast (Super Fast than I thought).
http://akviilee.wordpress.com/
Also I would like to Thank my Followers.
Joe Seeber - http://www.joeseeber.com/ - Thanks for being my first Follower
Jarosław - http://www.playwithlife.org/
Dimitri - http://d-papa.com/
Cristian Mihai - http://cristianmihai.net/
Thanks to the anonymous person who shared my article on FaceBook.
Last 2 days have been a bit slow. I was getting 60+ hits, which has fallen down to 40. As I know the reasons behind the loss of interest, I am not worried much.
The slight dip traffic is basically because of these following reasons:
1) I have been giving only match tips for the past few days. No In-Play Tips, no additional Insights. This is basically because I was analyzing the details that are required to make my blog successful over long term. I need this time to figure out the quality and quantity that I can produce and manage, apart from my primary job responsibilities.
2) I should have been adding more Cricket Betting related info. My analysis of the tips may be a bit complex for the casual/new Cricket betting players. So I am planning to add more info pages related to each and every market.
3) The returns that I'm showing are not eye-catching. This will never happen, as I'm freely sharing a cricket betting system, where you can make money only in a longer term, through quality analysis of the factors and carefully choosing where and how to invest.
I am a true believer of the Power of Compounding. If I make 6% profit a month with less risk, then I make 100% in a year. So If I start with 100$ I'll be a Millionaire in 10 years. This month my Bank sits at a comfortable 15% profit in 15 days.
4) For experienced Cricket Betting players: News, Fixtures, Stadium/Pitch details and Comparison of Prices among Bookmakers will add value. This will only make them come back. And I'm working on it.
5) The other technical factors related to World Wide Web starting from Google. I don't have a site on my own, so I have no control over this right now :(
As I have got the hits from 17 different countries, I am hopeful and simply waiting for the word of mouth to spread.
Thanks akviilee for giving me First and Only Like till date.Without you I don't think I would have been noticed this fast (Super Fast than I thought).
http://akviilee.wordpress.com/
Also I would like to Thank my Followers.
Joe Seeber - http://www.joeseeber.com/ - Thanks for being my first Follower
Jarosław - http://www.playwithlife.org/
Dimitri - http://d-papa.com/
Cristian Mihai - http://cristianmihai.net/
Thanks to the anonymous person who shared my article on FaceBook.
25-Sep-2014 - Review of the Tips and Suggestions
CL T20 - Group A
Match# 11
CSK v LL
The match was abandoned because of heavy rains. The bet was void.
Tip
CSK @ 2/5 - 5 units - Void
Match# 11
CSK v LL
The match was abandoned because of heavy rains. The bet was void.
Tip
CSK @ 2/5 - 5 units - Void
Champions League T20 - Odds For The Upcoming Matches [26-Sep-2014]
I have got the odds for the upcoming CL T20 Matches from Bet365
26-Sep-2014 - Match #12 - Barbados Tridents v Cape Cobras
Barbados Tridents - 6/5
Cape Cobras - 4/6
26-Sep-2014 - Match #13 - Kings XI Punjab v Northern Districts
Kings XI Punjab - 8/15
Northern Districts - 6/4
26-Sep-2014 - Match #12 - Barbados Tridents v Cape Cobras
Barbados Tridents - 6/5
Cape Cobras - 4/6
26-Sep-2014 - Match #13 - Kings XI Punjab v Northern Districts
Kings XI Punjab - 8/15
Northern Districts - 6/4
Wednesday 24 September 2014
MrCricketTipster's 10$ to 10000$ Challenge - Match# 1
MrCricketTipster's 10$ to 10000$ Challenge begins today with Chennai Super Kings v Lahore Lions.
CSK @ 2/5 - 10$
CSK @ 2/5 - 10$
25-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Chennai Super Kings v Lahore Lions
CL T20 - Group A
Match# 11
CSK v LL
I had high hopes of the Lahore Lions team, when they entered this CL T20. I even mentioned them as the CSK of Pakistan. I completely lost confidence in them once I saw their over aggressive approach in their batting. Now I'm tending to write them off completely after their fielding being one of the worst.
If you have better fielders and in one match the fielding fares poorly, it is fine. I don't understand how Hafeez expects his team to lift their fielding performance in 3 days (after nothing going right for nearly 2 weeks). Dropping dollies is a huge concern.
Touted as the next Saeed Ajmal, Rasool got one thing right. He is reported for suspect action. Looks like he can't bowl anymore in this tournament, so possibly he won't play. Except for the opening bowlers, the bowling department is weak.
I think both the teams' bowling strength is somewhat equal (With marginal advantage to LL). Batting and Fielding, CSK are from a very different league.
Again the venue is Bangalore, so look for dew factor to play a role.
Tip
CSK @ 2/5 - 5 units - BetVictor
(Match #1 of my 10$-10000$ challenge)
Match# 11
CSK v LL
I had high hopes of the Lahore Lions team, when they entered this CL T20. I even mentioned them as the CSK of Pakistan. I completely lost confidence in them once I saw their over aggressive approach in their batting. Now I'm tending to write them off completely after their fielding being one of the worst.
If you have better fielders and in one match the fielding fares poorly, it is fine. I don't understand how Hafeez expects his team to lift their fielding performance in 3 days (after nothing going right for nearly 2 weeks). Dropping dollies is a huge concern.
Touted as the next Saeed Ajmal, Rasool got one thing right. He is reported for suspect action. Looks like he can't bowl anymore in this tournament, so possibly he won't play. Except for the opening bowlers, the bowling department is weak.
I think both the teams' bowling strength is somewhat equal (With marginal advantage to LL). Batting and Fielding, CSK are from a very different league.
Again the venue is Bangalore, so look for dew factor to play a role.
Tip
CSK @ 2/5 - 5 units - BetVictor
(Match #1 of my 10$-10000$ challenge)
24-Sep-2014 - Review of the Tips and Suggestions
CL T20 - Group A
Match# 10
KKR v Perth Scorchers
I wasn't very convinced with KKR's form. I sided with them only after Scorchers made a weird decision to bat first. But KKR after restricting them to a reasonable 151, almost made a mess of the chase (Any memories from CSK v KKR, anyone).
Sorry for missing the units yesterday.
Tip
KKR @ 4/9 - 1 unit - Won
Match# 10
KKR v Perth Scorchers
I wasn't very convinced with KKR's form. I sided with them only after Scorchers made a weird decision to bat first. But KKR after restricting them to a reasonable 151, almost made a mess of the chase (Any memories from CSK v KKR, anyone).
Sorry for missing the units yesterday.
Tip
KKR @ 4/9 - 1 unit - Won
Tuesday 23 September 2014
24-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Kolkata Knight Riders v Perth Scorchers
CL T20 - Group A
Match# 10
KKR v Perth Scorchers
I thought I might be writing a bigger analysis today, but CricInfo has got most of my thoughts in their preview.
Read It Here
Only thing their preview is missing is, Uthappa's injury to his hamstring. Will he be fit to play?
There no clear favourites in my opinion right now. I'll be waiting till the toss to come to a decision. Because I think chasing team has a better chance today.
Tip
To be updated. Wait till the toss to end.
Update
Pick KKR. They have strengthened their batting and bowling. Also Uthappa is playing. Scorchers made a weird decision of choosing to bat first.
Match# 10
KKR v Perth Scorchers
I thought I might be writing a bigger analysis today, but CricInfo has got most of my thoughts in their preview.
Read It Here
Only thing their preview is missing is, Uthappa's injury to his hamstring. Will he be fit to play?
There no clear favourites in my opinion right now. I'll be waiting till the toss to come to a decision. Because I think chasing team has a better chance today.
Tip
To be updated. Wait till the toss to end.
Update
Pick KKR. They have strengthened their batting and bowling. Also Uthappa is playing. Scorchers made a weird decision of choosing to bat first.
CL T20 - Second Half of the Tournament is On
Half of the tournament has ended. Sigh! Now, I have to approach the matches with much more complex factors now.
There are two words in Cricket. One starts with M - a harmless nice word, while the other word starting with F, can mean not so nice things as well. Combine them both together, you get BCCI standing in front to confront you.
More than half of the tournament is over. This is a tournament often the cries of M-F appears. So I wanted to mention it at least now.
I have to be very careful from now on, because I am sure I am dealing with an unknown. I warn everyone to take caution as well.
Good Luck.
There are two words in Cricket. One starts with M - a harmless nice word, while the other word starting with F, can mean not so nice things as well. Combine them both together, you get BCCI standing in front to confront you.
More than half of the tournament is over. This is a tournament often the cries of M-F appears. So I wanted to mention it at least now.
I have to be very careful from now on, because I am sure I am dealing with an unknown. I warn everyone to take caution as well.
Good Luck.
23-Sep-2014 - Review of the Tips and Suggestions
End of two streaks, when the fort in Raipur constructed by Northern Districts is finally broken.
I was sitting and watching the Chennai Super Kings' match yesterday in a pub. It was the power play, where Chennai were taking a strong position. Me and my friend were discussing, what factors can cause Chennai to lose from there, what would be a good score, why you shouldn't bet on Chennai that day.
A young gentleman over hearing our conversation from the next table, started making fun of me and my friend of being ignorant of IPL stats, how strong Chennai's batting is etc., Once Chennai won, he also asked me that, would I bet on Hobart the next day. I asked this guy, "What do you plan to do tomorrow?".
He is a self proclaimed Cricket Betting Guru (Like, err... Me??) and was very confident of a Northerns win. So he explained me of the streak Northerns are having, how he predicted 70% of this Champions League matches accurately etc etc. He said would be betting his bottom dollar on Northerns today.
I didn't tell him anything about being MrCricketTipster, because I thought my point of view of a Hobart win would create unwanted tension in the conversation. I wished him luck and left.
May his Soul Rest In Peace.
[If you ever read this buddy, please take this on a lighter note. Because I too have made and will make these mistakes. But I will never bet my bottom dollar on any team]
I learnt two things from this. One, never let your success play with your head. Two, do not make gambling related decisions while you are drunk.
As advised I stayed away from going In-Play.
Tip
Hobart Hurricanes @ 11/10 - 0.75 units - Won
Profit - 0.83 units
My suggestion of going for the swing of fortunes at 6/4 also won.
I was sitting and watching the Chennai Super Kings' match yesterday in a pub. It was the power play, where Chennai were taking a strong position. Me and my friend were discussing, what factors can cause Chennai to lose from there, what would be a good score, why you shouldn't bet on Chennai that day.
A young gentleman over hearing our conversation from the next table, started making fun of me and my friend of being ignorant of IPL stats, how strong Chennai's batting is etc., Once Chennai won, he also asked me that, would I bet on Hobart the next day. I asked this guy, "What do you plan to do tomorrow?".
He is a self proclaimed Cricket Betting Guru (Like, err... Me??) and was very confident of a Northerns win. So he explained me of the streak Northerns are having, how he predicted 70% of this Champions League matches accurately etc etc. He said would be betting his bottom dollar on Northerns today.
I didn't tell him anything about being MrCricketTipster, because I thought my point of view of a Hobart win would create unwanted tension in the conversation. I wished him luck and left.
May his Soul Rest In Peace.
[If you ever read this buddy, please take this on a lighter note. Because I too have made and will make these mistakes. But I will never bet my bottom dollar on any team]
I learnt two things from this. One, never let your success play with your head. Two, do not make gambling related decisions while you are drunk.
As advised I stayed away from going In-Play.
Tip
Hobart Hurricanes @ 11/10 - 0.75 units - Won
Profit - 0.83 units
My suggestion of going for the swing of fortunes at 6/4 also won.
23-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Hobart Hurricanes v Northern Districts
It is getting tougher and tougher everyday to pick a clear winner. But that's the scenario I enjoy a lot.
Both the teams have been analysed previously. Especially I have analysed Northern Districts many times. So I'll keep the analysis to a straight forward comparison of the teams.
Cape Cobras
Both the teams had their previous match against the Cobras. Hobart scored 184 at Hyderabad and Northerns scored 204 at Raipur.
Northerns are scoring at an average of 170 per match including the qualifier matches. Which is the same they had in their domestic tournament as well. It should be noted that in their first match, against a bad Punjab bowling line up Hobart scored only 144, which indicates their batsmen are getting adjusted to Indian conditions reasonably.
But Northerns have been on the same ground for a month. Hobart on the other hand are showing improvements slowly.
The Questions
1) If a team has a hot winning streak at home, will you pick the away team?
2) If an Australia B v New Zealand B teams are playing, whom will you pick?
So these are the questions I am trying to find an answer. Both these teams are equal. Northerns haven't shown any weaknesses yet. But Hobart's batting had shown some instability. Bowling department-wise I'd say this is the best Northerns are going to face after Mumbai Indians.
Tip
Still I am worried about the favourite streak getting extended to 7 matches. Also Northerns are on a 4 in 4 winning streak.
Yesterday one streak got broken, the chasing team winning 4 matches in a row. I am slightly more confident today of the favourites streak getting over.
I think the Hobart team, even though having some weaknesses, has the ability to surprise the Northerns.
Hobart @ 11/10 - 0.75 Units - BetVictor.com
Any decision that you take, go pre-match. Avoid going In-Play. Risky match.
Otherwise try playing swing of fortunes @ 6/4 with small stakes.
Both the teams have been analysed previously. Especially I have analysed Northern Districts many times. So I'll keep the analysis to a straight forward comparison of the teams.
Cape Cobras
Both the teams had their previous match against the Cobras. Hobart scored 184 at Hyderabad and Northerns scored 204 at Raipur.
Northerns are scoring at an average of 170 per match including the qualifier matches. Which is the same they had in their domestic tournament as well. It should be noted that in their first match, against a bad Punjab bowling line up Hobart scored only 144, which indicates their batsmen are getting adjusted to Indian conditions reasonably.
But Northerns have been on the same ground for a month. Hobart on the other hand are showing improvements slowly.
The Questions
1) If a team has a hot winning streak at home, will you pick the away team?
2) If an Australia B v New Zealand B teams are playing, whom will you pick?
So these are the questions I am trying to find an answer. Both these teams are equal. Northerns haven't shown any weaknesses yet. But Hobart's batting had shown some instability. Bowling department-wise I'd say this is the best Northerns are going to face after Mumbai Indians.
Tip
Still I am worried about the favourite streak getting extended to 7 matches. Also Northerns are on a 4 in 4 winning streak.
Yesterday one streak got broken, the chasing team winning 4 matches in a row. I am slightly more confident today of the favourites streak getting over.
I think the Hobart team, even though having some weaknesses, has the ability to surprise the Northerns.
Hobart @ 11/10 - 0.75 Units - BetVictor.com
Any decision that you take, go pre-match. Avoid going In-Play. Risky match.
Otherwise try playing swing of fortunes @ 6/4 with small stakes.
Monday 22 September 2014
22-Sep-2014 - Review of the Tips and Suggestions
CSK v Dolphins
I have got most part of my analysis right. But the one part that mattered, faltered.
Nehra jokes make their appearance again. Ashwin and Jadeja's bowling are off the radar. Dwayne Smith's form is in a dip.
I thought Chennai team is slightly fatigued. But their batting made a lot of people to get fainted.
Dolphins @ 9/4 - 0.5 units - Lost
Anyways, I was able to cover it In-Play as mentioned.
In-Play Tips
Chennai @ 1/12 - 24 units - Won
Overall - 1.5 units profit.
I have got most part of my analysis right. But the one part that mattered, faltered.
Nehra jokes make their appearance again. Ashwin and Jadeja's bowling are off the radar. Dwayne Smith's form is in a dip.
I thought Chennai team is slightly fatigued. But their batting made a lot of people to get fainted.
Dolphins @ 9/4 - 0.5 units - Lost
Anyways, I was able to cover it In-Play as mentioned.
In-Play Tips
Chennai @ 1/12 - 24 units - Won
Overall - 1.5 units profit.
22-Sep-2014 - In-Play Tips
Proper trashing on cards. Wait for a CSK wicket to fall and cover.
Cover - CSK @ 1/12 - 24 units.
Cover - CSK @ 1/12 - 24 units.
22-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Chennai Super Kings v Dolphins
Champions League T20
Match # 8
Chennai Super Kings (CSK) v Sunfoil Dolphins
I don't really know where to begin the analysis for this match. Let me start with the odds.
CSK are 1/3 and Dolphins are 9/4 with BetVictor, the numbers have been so much worrying.
I have been repeatedly saying this, the bookmakers are shortening the odds too much in favour of the favourites. I expected the odds to be at a low of 1/2. I feel 4/6 is the correct odd for CSK.
They are facing lot of issues right now. Many players of CSK were part of the England series and fatigue looks like an issue. I am not seeing any end to their problems with the bowling department.
Asish Nehra
He was the only bowler who bowled tremendously in the previous match. But Nehra is so famous for his stamina and fitness issues. He was the butt of many jokes in previous IPL versions. How far can he go with this form?
Ashwin and Jadeja
The spin duo who were one of the main reasons for the victory against England, are not up to the mark. Looks like continuous fixtures have got them tired.
McCullum and Smith
The opening pair gave a decent start in the last match. But the form of these two is not very convincing yet.
From 12/3 they scored 164. Lost the match by giving the required 12 runs in 2 balls. Their bowling has lesser weaknesses compared to CSK's. Their batting looks reasonable as well.
Be very cautious, that'd be my suggestion for this match. There is a streak going on. The match favorites have won 6 matches continuously. And from the history of the tournament, favorites with too shortened odds struggled big time or lost convincingly.
Bangalore is getting nearer to it's winter season. So dew becomes a factor for the defending team. If Dolphins chase a reasonable total they become favorites.
Dolphins @ 9/4 - 0.5 units.
I have taken a contrarian call since the favorites streak is a bit extended. If Dolphins bat first and post a score of below 150 go In-Play on CSK to cover your losses. Play small stakes for this match.
Match # 8
Chennai Super Kings (CSK) v Sunfoil Dolphins
I don't really know where to begin the analysis for this match. Let me start with the odds.
CSK are 1/3 and Dolphins are 9/4 with BetVictor, the numbers have been so much worrying.
I have been repeatedly saying this, the bookmakers are shortening the odds too much in favour of the favourites. I expected the odds to be at a low of 1/2. I feel 4/6 is the correct odd for CSK.
Chennai Super Kings
They are facing lot of issues right now. Many players of CSK were part of the England series and fatigue looks like an issue. I am not seeing any end to their problems with the bowling department.
Asish Nehra
He was the only bowler who bowled tremendously in the previous match. But Nehra is so famous for his stamina and fitness issues. He was the butt of many jokes in previous IPL versions. How far can he go with this form?
Ashwin and Jadeja
The spin duo who were one of the main reasons for the victory against England, are not up to the mark. Looks like continuous fixtures have got them tired.
McCullum and Smith
The opening pair gave a decent start in the last match. But the form of these two is not very convincing yet.
Dolphins
From 12/3 they scored 164. Lost the match by giving the required 12 runs in 2 balls. Their bowling has lesser weaknesses compared to CSK's. Their batting looks reasonable as well.
Tip
Be very cautious, that'd be my suggestion for this match. There is a streak going on. The match favorites have won 6 matches continuously. And from the history of the tournament, favorites with too shortened odds struggled big time or lost convincingly.
Bangalore is getting nearer to it's winter season. So dew becomes a factor for the defending team. If Dolphins chase a reasonable total they become favorites.
Dolphins @ 9/4 - 0.5 units.
I have taken a contrarian call since the favorites streak is a bit extended. If Dolphins bat first and post a score of below 150 go In-Play on CSK to cover your losses. Play small stakes for this match.
Champions League T20 - Odds For The Upcoming Matches
I have got the odds for the upcoming CL T20 Matches from Bet365
23-Sep-2014 - Match #9 - Hobart Hurricanes v Northern Districts
Hobart Hurricanes - 11/10
Northern Knights - 8/11
24-Sep-2014 - Match #10 - Kolkata Knight Riders v Perth Scorchers
Kolkata Knight Riders - 1/2
Perth Scorchers - 13/8
23-Sep-2014 - Match #9 - Hobart Hurricanes v Northern Districts
Hobart Hurricanes - 11/10
Northern Knights - 8/11
24-Sep-2014 - Match #10 - Kolkata Knight Riders v Perth Scorchers
Kolkata Knight Riders - 1/2
Perth Scorchers - 13/8
Sunday 21 September 2014
13-21 -Sep-2014 - Review of Bank
9 Days and 15 Matches. I'm really exhausted, after all the Analysis, Tracking and Blogging. Phew!
Still the feeling of making a profit and being very consistent at that, has been keeping me going [on and on and on].
So I stand at a total of 29.48 Units [Or 14.74%] Profit at the end of 21-Sep.
*As I had mentioned before 1 Unit still translates to 0.5% of the initial bank [100$ * 0.5% = 0.5]. I will be revising the value of 1 Unit only after reaching 100 units profit. I haven't started compounding the units yet.
Still the feeling of making a profit and being very consistent at that, has been keeping me going [on and on and on].
So I stand at a total of 29.48 Units [Or 14.74%] Profit at the end of 21-Sep.
| 13-16 Sep-2014 | 17-Sep-14 | 18-Sep-14 | 19-Sep-14 | 20-Sep-14 | 21-Sep-14 | Total | |
| Pre-Match Tip | 3.46 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.55 | 1.95 | 11.96 | |
| In-Play | 9.86 | 2.66 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 17.52 |
*As I had mentioned before 1 Unit still translates to 0.5% of the initial bank [100$ * 0.5% = 0.5]. I will be revising the value of 1 Unit only after reaching 100 units profit. I haven't started compounding the units yet.
MrCricketTipster's 10$ to 10000$ Challenge
I will be posting a series of tips titled 10$ to 10000$ challenge.
The possible time frame to achieve this challenge is around 3-6 months.
With my regular match tips, I'll be mentioning whether the tip qualifies for the challenge.
Note:
1) Only the Match Winner tips will be included.
2) The odds will be provided from Bet365 or BetVictor.
3) The reader's are advised to do their own research before investing.
4) Understand the high risk nature of this system. Kindly be responsible while betting.
The possible time frame to achieve this challenge is around 3-6 months.
With my regular match tips, I'll be mentioning whether the tip qualifies for the challenge.
Note:
1) Only the Match Winner tips will be included.
2) The odds will be provided from Bet365 or BetVictor.
3) The reader's are advised to do their own research before investing.
4) Understand the high risk nature of this system. Kindly be responsible while betting.
Mr Cricket Tipster in Facebook and Google+
My Facebook and Google+ profiles can be found as mrcrickettipster.
Please add to your friends list/circles.
Please add to your friends list/circles.
21-Sep-2014 - Review of the Tips and Suggestions
Cape Cobras v Hobart Hurricanes
Hobart Hurricanes @ 7/10 - 0.5 units - Won
Kolkata Knight Riders v Lahore Lions
KKR @ 8/15 - 3 units - Won
Overall - 0.35 + 1.6 = 1.95 units
Hobart Hurricanes @ 7/10 - 0.5 units - Won
Kolkata Knight Riders v Lahore Lions
KKR @ 8/15 - 3 units - Won
Overall - 0.35 + 1.6 = 1.95 units
Saturday 20 September 2014
21-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Tips
As I have mentioned in a previous post, my personal commitments have delayed the posting of the tips.
Today my analysis will be absent. Only the tips will be there. Please bear with me.
Cape Cobras v Hobart Hurricanes
Hobart Hurricanes @ 7/10 - 0.5 units - BetVictor.
Kolkata Knight Riders v Lahore Lions
KKR @ 8/15 - 3 units - BetVictor.
Today my analysis will be absent. Only the tips will be there. Please bear with me.
Cape Cobras v Hobart Hurricanes
Hobart Hurricanes @ 7/10 - 0.5 units - BetVictor.
Kolkata Knight Riders v Lahore Lions
KKR @ 8/15 - 3 units - BetVictor.
20-Sep-2014 - Review of the Tips and Suggestions
CL T20 - Dolphins v Perth Scorchers
Lottery I said and lottery it was. I heard many of the people who went In-Play lost their money. It's the bookmakers' lucky day.
Congratulations to people who played for the fortunes to swing and have taken 6/4 or 7/4 on both teams [or 3/1]. But the actual tip is to avoid this match.
Tip - Avoid
Note : If you still want to enter the match Play for Swing of fortunes with very low stakes [Take 6/4 or 7/4 on both sides during In-Play].
CL T20 - Kings XI Punjab v Barbados Tridents
KXIP struggled against the BT slightly, but won the game eventually.
Tip - KXIP @ 4/11 - 5.5 units - Won
Royal London One-Day Cup - Final - Warwickshire v Durham
Durham bowled out Warwicks for a small total of 165, then struggled in the chase. The eighth wicket partnership got them home.
Tip - Durham @ 11/10 - 0.5 units - Won
Lottery I said and lottery it was. I heard many of the people who went In-Play lost their money. It's the bookmakers' lucky day.
Congratulations to people who played for the fortunes to swing and have taken 6/4 or 7/4 on both teams [or 3/1]. But the actual tip is to avoid this match.
Tip - Avoid
Note : If you still want to enter the match Play for Swing of fortunes with very low stakes [Take 6/4 or 7/4 on both sides during In-Play].
CL T20 - Kings XI Punjab v Barbados Tridents
KXIP struggled against the BT slightly, but won the game eventually.
Tip - KXIP @ 4/11 - 5.5 units - Won
Royal London One-Day Cup - Final - Warwickshire v Durham
Durham bowled out Warwicks for a small total of 165, then struggled in the chase. The eighth wicket partnership got them home.
Tip - Durham @ 11/10 - 0.5 units - Won
Friday 19 September 2014
To Do or Not To Do?
Yesterday, just after reaching 100 hits I posted an article on my thoughts about the same.
Thank you guys. You've all made me get 200 hits right now.
I thought Indians will get me more hits, because of their 1 billion population and their obsession with Cricket. But for my surprise they are running second with 40 hits. USA leads with 130 hits. Other countries are contributing to the rest.
But I have a question to ask to my audience, as I was wondering if I could post the main match tip and analysis as a video!
Will it be good, will it make you feel more comfortable, will it give you a better perspective?
Post your comments and let me know what do you think.
Thank you guys. You've all made me get 200 hits right now.
I thought Indians will get me more hits, because of their 1 billion population and their obsession with Cricket. But for my surprise they are running second with 40 hits. USA leads with 130 hits. Other countries are contributing to the rest.
But I have a question to ask to my audience, as I was wondering if I could post the main match tip and analysis as a video!
Will it be good, will it make you feel more comfortable, will it give you a better perspective?
Post your comments and let me know what do you think.
20-Sep-2014 - Royal London One-Day Cup - Final - Warwickshire v Durham
Two teams who have finished 3rd and 4th of Group B Table surprised the top teams in their respective Quarter Finals and Semi-Finals to reach the Final.
These two teams are looking too equal on paper. Both have won 4 lost 3 and 1 NR in their 8 Group stage matches.
Warwickshire scored 1614 runs in 291.3 @ 5.54 and gave away 1502 runs in 289.1 @ 5.2.
Durham scored 1733 runs in 323.1 @ 5.36 and gave away 1685 runs in 327.1 @ 5.15.
The numbers may sound like Warwickshire has an advantage, but this actually indicates they have played more rain affected matches. I actually would have gone with the favorites Warwickshire but the form factor of Durham is not allowing me.
Durham has a depleted bowling unit [Graham Onions and John Hastings are missing]. But this is their story throughout the tournament. Their batting has bailed them out in their matches. But in the league match Warwickshire posted 264 and Durham chased it in 46.1 overs.
So the factors are not helping so much to identify the clear favorite.
I am expecting another upset, and going for small stakes with a contrarian view.
Tip
Durham @ 11/10 - 0.5 Units
These two teams are looking too equal on paper. Both have won 4 lost 3 and 1 NR in their 8 Group stage matches.
Warwickshire scored 1614 runs in 291.3 @ 5.54 and gave away 1502 runs in 289.1 @ 5.2.
Durham scored 1733 runs in 323.1 @ 5.36 and gave away 1685 runs in 327.1 @ 5.15.
The numbers may sound like Warwickshire has an advantage, but this actually indicates they have played more rain affected matches. I actually would have gone with the favorites Warwickshire but the form factor of Durham is not allowing me.
Durham has a depleted bowling unit [Graham Onions and John Hastings are missing]. But this is their story throughout the tournament. Their batting has bailed them out in their matches. But in the league match Warwickshire posted 264 and Durham chased it in 46.1 overs.
So the factors are not helping so much to identify the clear favorite.
I am expecting another upset, and going for small stakes with a contrarian view.
Tip
Durham @ 11/10 - 0.5 Units
20-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Dolphins v Perth Scorchers
I don't want to analyse this match at all. Any team can surprise the other.
Both the teams surprised their respective tournament favorites in the final.
Both the teams have 50% of the players under the age of 25.
So there are lot of unknowns remain. On paper Scorchers look strong, but South African teams gets adjusted to Indian conditions better than Australian ones.
Avoid this match. This match is a lottery. Use this match to understand these teams' strengths and weaknesses.
Tip - Avoid
Note : If you still want to enter the match Play for Swing of fortunes with very low stakes [Take 6/4 or 7/4 on both sides during In-Play].
Both the teams surprised their respective tournament favorites in the final.
Both the teams have 50% of the players under the age of 25.
So there are lot of unknowns remain. On paper Scorchers look strong, but South African teams gets adjusted to Indian conditions better than Australian ones.
Avoid this match. This match is a lottery. Use this match to understand these teams' strengths and weaknesses.
Tip - Avoid
Note : If you still want to enter the match Play for Swing of fortunes with very low stakes [Take 6/4 or 7/4 on both sides during In-Play].
20-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Kings XI Punjab v Barbados Tridents
KXIP is @ 4/11 in Bet365. Betvictor has shortened them to 2/7. Go grab KXIP with Bet365.
Kings XI Punjab
There is no need to analyse much on KXIP. Except Sehwag's form, which makes them 0/1 efficiently. Sehwag was famous for his hand-eye co-ordination. He was the best in the world. But he always lacked foot movement. Now with age taking a toll, his form is bound to dip. But they are still a very fine batting unit.
Barbados Tridents
Here comes this tournaments whipping boys. BT are missing their core batting line-up. Pollard, Dwayne Smith and Shoaib Malik are playing for other teams. All the three can bowl as well. How crucial are these three to them? Very. Because they scored 60% of the runs scored by BT in the entire Caribbean Premier League [959 out of the 1576 Runs BT scored to be precise]. Add the extras to the total of these three, then you can see there is no batting unit left.
They have a very decent bowling unit with Rampaul, Holder, Nurse, Franklin, Jeevan Mendis. But any score above 140 will be a tough ask for them.
Tip
KXIP @ 4/11 - 5.5 units - Bet365.
Note : Bet365 has too shortened the odds to 1/3.
Kings XI Punjab
There is no need to analyse much on KXIP. Except Sehwag's form, which makes them 0/1 efficiently. Sehwag was famous for his hand-eye co-ordination. He was the best in the world. But he always lacked foot movement. Now with age taking a toll, his form is bound to dip. But they are still a very fine batting unit.
Barbados Tridents
Here comes this tournaments whipping boys. BT are missing their core batting line-up. Pollard, Dwayne Smith and Shoaib Malik are playing for other teams. All the three can bowl as well. How crucial are these three to them? Very. Because they scored 60% of the runs scored by BT in the entire Caribbean Premier League [959 out of the 1576 Runs BT scored to be precise]. Add the extras to the total of these three, then you can see there is no batting unit left.
They have a very decent bowling unit with Rampaul, Holder, Nurse, Franklin, Jeevan Mendis. But any score above 140 will be a tough ask for them.
Tip
KXIP @ 4/11 - 5.5 units - Bet365.
Note : Bet365 has too shortened the odds to 1/3.
20-21 September 2014 - Tips
As I have some personal commitments this weekend I'll post the CL T20 tips for 20-Sep before the end of today's match.
I'll also post a tip for Royal London One-Day Cup Final around the same time.
Tips for 21-Sep will be posted tomorrow.
I'll also post a tip for Royal London One-Day Cup Final around the same time.
Tips for 21-Sep will be posted tomorrow.
20-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Odds for the Matches
Bte365 has posted the odds for the two matches tomorrow in Champions League T20.
Match # 1 - Dolphins v Perth Scorchers - 16.00 IST
Dolphins - 11/10
Perth Scorchers - 8/11
Match # 2 - Barbados Tridents v Kings XI Punjab - 20.00 IST
Barbados Tridents - 16/5
Kings XI Punjab - 4/11
Match # 1 - Dolphins v Perth Scorchers - 16.00 IST
Dolphins - 11/10
Perth Scorchers - 8/11
Match # 2 - Barbados Tridents v Kings XI Punjab - 20.00 IST
Barbados Tridents - 16/5
Kings XI Punjab - 4/11
19-Sep-2014 - Review of the Tips and Suggestions
19-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Northern Districts v Cape Cobras
Match Tip
Northern Districts @ 4/5 - 2.5 Units - Won
In-Play Tip
Northern Districts @ 1/4 - 8 Units - Won
Total Returns for the day = +4 Units.
Match Tip
Northern Districts @ 4/5 - 2.5 Units - Won
In-Play Tip
Northern Districts @ 1/4 - 8 Units - Won
Total Returns for the day = +4 Units.
19-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - CC v ND - In-Play Tips
Pick ND @ 1/4 - 8 units
The match is as good as over now. Raining again. Waiting only for the official announcement.
ND has won by 33 Runs (D/L).
Another successful day ending with +2 Units.
The match is as good as over now. Raining again. Waiting only for the official announcement.
ND has won by 33 Runs (D/L).
Another successful day ending with +2 Units.
19-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Cape Cobras v Northern Districts
BetVictor posted the odds @ 10/11 on both teams. But they have reduced the odds on Northern Districts now to 4/5.
I have very little information on this match right now.
Beuran Hendricks [The highest wicket taker for Cape Cobras in Ram-Slam T20] is not playing because of an injury.
The venue for this game is Raipur, where ND won all their 3 qualifying matches.
I am not very sure of two factors, which has been worrying me in taking a decision about this match.
1. Who will feature in Cape Cobras' playing XI.
2. ND has played 3 matches in a row without changing their squad members. Will they get affected by fatigue or will they try some players from bench?
Without getting some ideas on these I cannot comment anything early. It is always better to look forward to a match were more concrete info is available rather than burning your pocket by playing blind folded.
I will try to post a tip if some reasonable information starts flowing.
The information river has started flowing. And many of the info that you are seeing is wrong. I am so sick and tired of either bookmakers shortening the odds, or the media publishing misleading news.
Let us analyze Cape Cobras news in detail first.
Cape Cobras
Misleading News 1 - Dale Steyn, JP Duminy, Beuran Hendricks and Kallis are missing in the squad
Steyn, Duminy and Hendricks are out because of injury concerns, Kallis plays for KKR.
Analysis of Misleading News 1
Steyn is the main fast bowler of Cape Cobras. How many matches Steyn played for them? Zero.
Steyn never played a single match for Cobras in the Ram-Slam T20, then how do they miss him from the squad. If he is there to play he is a great asset, and no arguments. But he never played for them for the whole tournament means he is not part of the squad in any case.
Kallis the veteran all-rounder is not playing for them. How many did he play for them then? 1 match. That too on the final and he scored 5 runs.
Only Duminy and Hendricks are the regular features of the squad, they both are valuable players. But Duminy's contributions are also below par [5, 0, 45, 9*, 11*, 56, 29, 10, 64]. Which gives the conclusion that the core team is still there and only player who is missing is Hendricks.
Misleading News 2 - Cobras have good spin bowlers in Dane Piedt and Robin Peterson
They have two regular spin bowlers Piedt and Peterson who will pose challenges to other teams in India.
Analysis of Misleading News 2
Sunil Narine played 6 matches for Cobras and he was their main spinner. He took 10 wickets in 6 matches and miserly bowling average. Why nobody [Not even CricInfo] is mentioning Cobras are missing Narine. Dane Piedt was completely sidelined. But his stats are also not great. 31 matches 21 wickets in T20s. Not so great for a mystery spinner.
Misleading News 3 - Cobras can play against Spin Bowling well
They have good spin bowlers in their team. Won 8 out of 10 matches they played. Their spinners have got lot of wickets against their opponents, so in the nets they get a lot of exposure. Blah! Blah!
Analysis of Misleading News 3
In the Ram-Slam T20 Cobras lost 58 wickets and 17 goes to spinners. Which is 29%. Reduce the wickets caused by run-outs you are looking at a possible 35-40% wickets lost for spin bowling. Cobras Captain himself has admitted of coming late to India and having not enough time to practice at the Raipur pitch [Where the Northern Districts are camping for the last one month].
Northern Districts
Misleading News 4 - Northern Districts and Cape Cobras are equal teams
This is purely assumed because of Cobras performance in the previous CLT20 tournaments. These two teams are not equal. ND are very much ahead on all aspects.
There isn't much wrong news about ND's form. But everyone's over estimating their batting against spin. They are simply attacking the spinners right from the word go. Rasool and Ojha lost their confidence of getting poor support from their fielders. They are better than many overseas teams, since they are practicing in India for the last one month.
Tip for the match
CC are having only two big names, Amla and Philander. Ontong, Levi and Kemp are expected to hit some lusty blows. Apart from this nothing much to talk about them.
I am only concerned about ND's fatigue issues and the mystery of unknown players in their opposition. [Their captain has spoken about analyzing the IPL players while coming here]
The good news is bookmakers got the odds wrong because of the misleading news.
ND @ 4/5 - 2.5 Units - BetVictor
Bet365 has already figured out the mismatch. They are 4/6 on ND already. Be quick to grab.
Good Luck.
I have very little information on this match right now.
Beuran Hendricks [The highest wicket taker for Cape Cobras in Ram-Slam T20] is not playing because of an injury.
The venue for this game is Raipur, where ND won all their 3 qualifying matches.
I am not very sure of two factors, which has been worrying me in taking a decision about this match.
1. Who will feature in Cape Cobras' playing XI.
2. ND has played 3 matches in a row without changing their squad members. Will they get affected by fatigue or will they try some players from bench?
Without getting some ideas on these I cannot comment anything early. It is always better to look forward to a match were more concrete info is available rather than burning your pocket by playing blind folded.
I will try to post a tip if some reasonable information starts flowing.
The information river has started flowing. And many of the info that you are seeing is wrong. I am so sick and tired of either bookmakers shortening the odds, or the media publishing misleading news.
Let us analyze Cape Cobras news in detail first.
Cape Cobras
Misleading News 1 - Dale Steyn, JP Duminy, Beuran Hendricks and Kallis are missing in the squad
Steyn, Duminy and Hendricks are out because of injury concerns, Kallis plays for KKR.
Analysis of Misleading News 1
Steyn is the main fast bowler of Cape Cobras. How many matches Steyn played for them? Zero.
Steyn never played a single match for Cobras in the Ram-Slam T20, then how do they miss him from the squad. If he is there to play he is a great asset, and no arguments. But he never played for them for the whole tournament means he is not part of the squad in any case.
Kallis the veteran all-rounder is not playing for them. How many did he play for them then? 1 match. That too on the final and he scored 5 runs.
Only Duminy and Hendricks are the regular features of the squad, they both are valuable players. But Duminy's contributions are also below par [5, 0, 45, 9*, 11*, 56, 29, 10, 64]. Which gives the conclusion that the core team is still there and only player who is missing is Hendricks.
Misleading News 2 - Cobras have good spin bowlers in Dane Piedt and Robin Peterson
They have two regular spin bowlers Piedt and Peterson who will pose challenges to other teams in India.
Analysis of Misleading News 2
Sunil Narine played 6 matches for Cobras and he was their main spinner. He took 10 wickets in 6 matches and miserly bowling average. Why nobody [Not even CricInfo] is mentioning Cobras are missing Narine. Dane Piedt was completely sidelined. But his stats are also not great. 31 matches 21 wickets in T20s. Not so great for a mystery spinner.
Misleading News 3 - Cobras can play against Spin Bowling well
They have good spin bowlers in their team. Won 8 out of 10 matches they played. Their spinners have got lot of wickets against their opponents, so in the nets they get a lot of exposure. Blah! Blah!
Analysis of Misleading News 3
In the Ram-Slam T20 Cobras lost 58 wickets and 17 goes to spinners. Which is 29%. Reduce the wickets caused by run-outs you are looking at a possible 35-40% wickets lost for spin bowling. Cobras Captain himself has admitted of coming late to India and having not enough time to practice at the Raipur pitch [Where the Northern Districts are camping for the last one month].
Northern Districts
Misleading News 4 - Northern Districts and Cape Cobras are equal teams
This is purely assumed because of Cobras performance in the previous CLT20 tournaments. These two teams are not equal. ND are very much ahead on all aspects.
There isn't much wrong news about ND's form. But everyone's over estimating their batting against spin. They are simply attacking the spinners right from the word go. Rasool and Ojha lost their confidence of getting poor support from their fielders. They are better than many overseas teams, since they are practicing in India for the last one month.
Tip for the match
CC are having only two big names, Amla and Philander. Ontong, Levi and Kemp are expected to hit some lusty blows. Apart from this nothing much to talk about them.
I am only concerned about ND's fatigue issues and the mystery of unknown players in their opposition. [Their captain has spoken about analyzing the IPL players while coming here]
The good news is bookmakers got the odds wrong because of the misleading news.
ND @ 4/5 - 2.5 Units - BetVictor
Bet365 has already figured out the mismatch. They are 4/6 on ND already. Be quick to grab.
Good Luck.
Thursday 18 September 2014
My Thoughts on My Blog
The blog has crossed a total of 100 life time hits yesterday. When I started this blog on September last year, in an entire month I received two hits. Both were mine unfortunately as I tried from somebody else's computers, to check my blog stats.
I deleted all the posts and started to think that I would never get noticed. But last month I was tipping my friends on the England v India ODI series. Where I was on India's side and many were on England's side. After the series they told me to start a site.
MrCricketTipster resurrected and I started blogging again, expecting 100 hits in 100 days.
When I posted my first tip about the Northern Districts v Southern Express match I got a view and a like in about two hours. That kept me going, but I never thought I'll reach my first target in 6 days. Yesterday itself I got 28 hits.
I am really glad that some people follow my blog very seriously. Thanks for them. I am honoured.
The idea of this site is to analyse and predict the match in Gambler's way. Normal cricketing analysis will tell you that the bookmakers' favorites will win. That's where many of the tipping sites fail.
Cricket gives you nearly 500 events to bet in a whole year, where Football or Tennis gives 50000+ events an year. So a Cricket Tipster is forced to place his tips for each and every match. But a bad tipster forgets or does not understand placing a tip of Avoid is also a tip.
This site will be free for everyone. I will never ask you a fee or donation for my services. It will be kept free throughout it's life time. But please like my posts or make a small comment, I spend two hours a day to analyse and post. If you give your 1 minute to comment, it gives me an immense interest in writing this blog.
I am setting myself a target of 1000 hits within 1 year. Hope you guys will be with me.
All the best. And let us make some serious money in Cricket.
I deleted all the posts and started to think that I would never get noticed. But last month I was tipping my friends on the England v India ODI series. Where I was on India's side and many were on England's side. After the series they told me to start a site.
MrCricketTipster resurrected and I started blogging again, expecting 100 hits in 100 days.
When I posted my first tip about the Northern Districts v Southern Express match I got a view and a like in about two hours. That kept me going, but I never thought I'll reach my first target in 6 days. Yesterday itself I got 28 hits.
I am really glad that some people follow my blog very seriously. Thanks for them. I am honoured.
The idea of this site is to analyse and predict the match in Gambler's way. Normal cricketing analysis will tell you that the bookmakers' favorites will win. That's where many of the tipping sites fail.
Cricket gives you nearly 500 events to bet in a whole year, where Football or Tennis gives 50000+ events an year. So a Cricket Tipster is forced to place his tips for each and every match. But a bad tipster forgets or does not understand placing a tip of Avoid is also a tip.
This site will be free for everyone. I will never ask you a fee or donation for my services. It will be kept free throughout it's life time. But please like my posts or make a small comment, I spend two hours a day to analyse and post. If you give your 1 minute to comment, it gives me an immense interest in writing this blog.
I am setting myself a target of 1000 hits within 1 year. Hope you guys will be with me.
All the best. And let us make some serious money in Cricket.
18-Sep-2014 - Review of the Tips and Suggestions
18-Sep-2014 - CL T20- Kings XI Punjab v Hobart Hurricanes
KXIP to win @ 4/7 – 3.5 units – Won
David Miller – Dismissal Method – Caught – 2 Units @ 1/2 - Won
Most Sixers – KXIP – 2 units @ 4/7 – Lost
In-Play Tips - 4 Units Won
5 Units Profit.
KXIP to win @ 4/7 – 3.5 units – Won
David Miller – Dismissal Method – Caught – 2 Units @ 1/2 - Won
Most Sixers – KXIP – 2 units @ 4/7 – Lost
In-Play Tips - 4 Units Won
5 Units Profit.
18-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - KXIP v HH - In-Play Tips
HH 15/0 in 4 over.
Wait. And watch.
2 Down. Punjab @1/3 - 3 units
HH 60/2 in 10 over.
Malik will go slow.
Malik is out. Birt is the only recognized batsman left.
HH finish at 144. They have hit 3 sixes.
David Miller is out caught.
KXIP 33/3 in the 5th over. First six has been hit.
KXIP 44/3 in 6. Their main bowlers have bowled 3 each.
KXIP 71/4 in 10 Overs. 2 sixes now. The 5th bowler starts his over only now.
HH are short of bowlers for 6 overs. Wait and watch
Maxwell is out. Perera starts hitting right away. 3rd Six has been hit.
KXIP needs 50 runs from 8 overs. Not much pressure now.
Another 4. KXIP @ 1/7 - 21 Units
7 overs 40 required for KXIP.
6 overs 33 required now. KXIP is steady now.
5 overs 26. Will the 1 six required hit??
3 Overs 10 runs. Waiting for that 1 six.
No they won't the sixes count is tied.
Today's Final Calculations are:
KXIP @ 1/3 - 3 units - Won
KXIP @ 1/7 - 21 Units - Won
David Miller - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 2 Units - Won
Most Sixes - KXIP @ 4/7 - 2 Units - Lost
5 - 2 = 3 Units Profit.
Wait. And watch.
2 Down. Punjab @1/3 - 3 units
HH 60/2 in 10 over.
Malik will go slow.
Malik is out. Birt is the only recognized batsman left.
HH finish at 144. They have hit 3 sixes.
David Miller is out caught.
KXIP 33/3 in the 5th over. First six has been hit.
KXIP 44/3 in 6. Their main bowlers have bowled 3 each.
KXIP 71/4 in 10 Overs. 2 sixes now. The 5th bowler starts his over only now.
HH are short of bowlers for 6 overs. Wait and watch
Maxwell is out. Perera starts hitting right away. 3rd Six has been hit.
KXIP needs 50 runs from 8 overs. Not much pressure now.
Another 4. KXIP @ 1/7 - 21 Units
7 overs 40 required for KXIP.
6 overs 33 required now. KXIP is steady now.
5 overs 26. Will the 1 six required hit??
3 Overs 10 runs. Waiting for that 1 six.
No they won't the sixes count is tied.
Today's Final Calculations are:
KXIP @ 1/3 - 3 units - Won
KXIP @ 1/7 - 21 Units - Won
David Miller - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 2 Units - Won
Most Sixes - KXIP @ 4/7 - 2 Units - Lost
5 - 2 = 3 Units Profit.
18-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - KXIP v HH - More Insights
David Miller - Dismissal Method - Caught - 2 Units @ [Awaiting Odds]
Miller is either not out or out by a different dismissal method in his last 10 international matches. In T20s also last 4 matches it's the same.
Most Sixers - KXIP - 2 units @ 4/7 - BetVictor.Com
Throughout the Big Bash League, Hobart have hit 36 sixes in 9 matches. Kings XI have 130+ in 19 IPL matches.
Miller is either not out or out by a different dismissal method in his last 10 international matches. In T20s also last 4 matches it's the same.
Most Sixers - KXIP - 2 units @ 4/7 - BetVictor.Com
Throughout the Big Bash League, Hobart have hit 36 sixes in 9 matches. Kings XI have 130+ in 19 IPL matches.
18-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Kings XI Punjab v Hobart Hurricanes
Here we go again. I am consistently facing the issue of bookmakers being very short on the favourites in this tournament .
MI were 4/7 against ND, CSK were 8/13 against KKR. But the results were quite freaky. I am feeling very sad for the people who lost money in these matches (Read my previous tips)
The analysis for this match is very short.
Punjab virtually has no bowlers, up to an extent the same can be said to Hobart's batting order. To make matters worse to them Hobart captain is captaining Punjab.
There is nothing much to analyse and choose.
Punjab are playing in their home ground (Mohali). They have the strongest batting unit among IPL teams. And Mohali is generally a batting paradise.
Hobart has a decent batting unit but no big names in their bowling. Add their inconsistency and handling spin bowlers in the sub-continent .
Even though the odds are short on Punjab. I am going with them, because of their batting power, home ground advantage and spin bowling. They can chase any score below 170 easily or post 180-190+ scores batting first.
KXIP to win @ 4/7 - 3.5 units - Betvictor. Com
Good Luck.
MI were 4/7 against ND, CSK were 8/13 against KKR. But the results were quite freaky. I am feeling very sad for the people who lost money in these matches (Read my previous tips)
The analysis for this match is very short.
Punjab virtually has no bowlers, up to an extent the same can be said to Hobart's batting order. To make matters worse to them Hobart captain is captaining Punjab.
There is nothing much to analyse and choose.
Punjab are playing in their home ground (Mohali). They have the strongest batting unit among IPL teams. And Mohali is generally a batting paradise.
Hobart has a decent batting unit but no big names in their bowling. Add their inconsistency and handling spin bowlers in the sub-continent .
Even though the odds are short on Punjab. I am going with them, because of their batting power, home ground advantage and spin bowling. They can chase any score below 170 easily or post 180-190+ scores batting first.
KXIP to win @ 4/7 - 3.5 units - Betvictor. Com
Good Luck.
Champions League T20 2014 - List of the Players missing their Squads
I am posting the list of the Players missing their squad, as the main round is about to begin tomorrow.
I'll update this post as and when more news on the same is available
Updated for 17 September 2014.
I'll update this post as and when more news on the same is available
Updated for 17 September 2014.
Kolkata Knight Riders | ||
| Shakib Al Hasan | 3 Month Ban | All-Rounder |
| Morne Morkel | Shoulder Injury | Fast Bowler |
| Chris Lynn | Shoulder Injury | Batsman |
Kings XI Punjab | ||
| Mitchell Johnson | Recovering from Injury (May not Play) | Fast Bowler |
| Sandeep Sharma | Injury | Fast Bowler |
Chennai Super Kings | ||
| Ben Hilfenhaus | Not Included | Fast Bowler |
Dolphins | ||
| David Miller | Playing for Kings XI Punjab | Batsman |
Cape Cobras | ||
| Jacques Kallis | Playing for Kolkata Knight Riders | All-Rounder |
| JP Duminy | Knee Injury | All-Rounder |
Perth Scorchers | ||
| Pat Cummins | Playing for Kolkata Knight Riders | Fast Bowler |
| Shaun Marsh | Elbow Injury | Batsman |
| Alfonso Thomas | Fast Bowler | |
| Simon Katich | Retired | Batsman |
Hobart Hurricanes | ||
| George Bailey | Playing for Kings XI Punjab | Batsman |
Barbados Tridents | ||
| Kieron Pollard | Playing for Mumbai Indians | All-Rounder, Captain |
| Dwayne Smith | Playing for Chennai Super Kings | All-Rounder |
| Shoaib Malik | Playing for Hobart Hurricanes | All-Rounder |
Northern Districts | ||
| Daniel Vettori | Family Commitments | All-Rounder |
| Corey Anderson | Playing for Mumbai Indians | All-Rounder |
Lahore Lions | ||
| NA | NA | NA |
17-Sep-2014 - Review of the Tips and Suggestions
I'll be posting a very short review, since I have been struggling with connectivity issues.
Chennai v Kolkata
Match Tip -
Chasing Team to win if target below 150- void (Target 158)
Insights - Both lost -2 units
In-Play Tip - +4.66 units
Overall - +2.66 units
Chennai v Kolkata
Match Tip -
Chasing Team to win if target below 150- void (Target 158)
Insights - Both lost -2 units
In-Play Tip - +4.66 units
Overall - +2.66 units
Wednesday 17 September 2014
17-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - In-Play Tips
Enter with KKR @ 15/8 - 0.5 units
Wait and watch. CSK 71/2 in 9 Overs
8/11 KKR - 1 Unit. CSK are 86/4
Sorry for the delay. Cover the investments CSK @ 2/7 - 14 units
KKR - 32/4 in 7 Overs. Required Rate 9.6
Cover 2 units @ 7/1 on KKR. 8 overs of spin and medium pace to come.
Dhoni is making a gamble. He is finishing of his fast bowlers' overs.
17 runs have come in the 11th over. 81 required from 9 Overs (RR 9)
Good over from Ashwin only 6 runs. 75 from 8 (RR 9.38)
Very identical scores CSK were 87/4 after 13 overs, KKR are 88/5. 70 required in 7 overs (RR 10)
50 from 5 Overs. 49 for super over
18 from 3 overs. KKR @ 1/8 - 24 units
Consolidated In-Play Bets
KKR @ 15/8 - 0.5 units - Won
KKR @ 8/11 - 1 Unit - Won
KKR @ 7/1 - 2 units - Won
KKR @ 1/8 - 24 units - Won
CSK @ 2/7 - 14 units - Lost
4.66 units profit. Would have gone either way. Lucky to protect at the right time.
Ends another successful day.
Wait and watch. CSK 71/2 in 9 Overs
8/11 KKR - 1 Unit. CSK are 86/4
Sorry for the delay. Cover the investments CSK @ 2/7 - 14 units
KKR - 32/4 in 7 Overs. Required Rate 9.6
Cover 2 units @ 7/1 on KKR. 8 overs of spin and medium pace to come.
Dhoni is making a gamble. He is finishing of his fast bowlers' overs.
17 runs have come in the 11th over. 81 required from 9 Overs (RR 9)
Good over from Ashwin only 6 runs. 75 from 8 (RR 9.38)
Very identical scores CSK were 87/4 after 13 overs, KKR are 88/5. 70 required in 7 overs (RR 10)
50 from 5 Overs. 49 for super over
18 from 3 overs. KKR @ 1/8 - 24 units
Consolidated In-Play Bets
KKR @ 15/8 - 0.5 units - Won
KKR @ 8/11 - 1 Unit - Won
KKR @ 7/1 - 2 units - Won
KKR @ 1/8 - 24 units - Won
CSK @ 2/7 - 14 units - Lost
4.66 units profit. Would have gone either way. Lucky to protect at the right time.
Ends another successful day.
17-Sep-2014 - CLT20 - CSK v KKR - More Insights
Suresh Raina - Dismissal Method - Caught - 1 unit - 1/2 - BetVictor.Com
Most Sixes - CSK @ 8/11 - 1 Unit - BetVictor.Com
Most Sixes - CSK @ 8/11 - 1 Unit - BetVictor.Com
Tuesday 16 September 2014
17-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Chennai Super Kings v Kolkata Knight Riders
So the main round of matches begin today.
I have nearly 9 hours to post the analysis and tip for this match. I will try to post the Analysis/Tip as early as possible.
As of now, looks like I will avoid the match. But if some interesting stats/news show up I may change my mind.
Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR)
KKR generally struggled against CSK if you look at the overall head-to-head stats. But in the recent years they are at par with CSK. So let's start with an analysis of the problems KKR has.
1) Not enough international player options.
Sunil Narine, Pat Cummins have sealed their place in the bowling department. Ryan Tendoeschate is expected to play. So the 4th player should be chosen between Kallis or Russell. Injuries to Chris Lynn, Morkel and Shakib have completely depleted the foreign reserves.
2) Form of Uthappa
Top scorer of IPL 2014 is coming back after recovering from an injury. The recent news is his form is not great.
3) Form of Gambhir
Gambhir is the modern flat track bully. When he entered the international scene he was known for his technical flaws in his batting. With a tremendous flow of runs and form he silenced every criticism. Now his flaws have been picked up by every team . His failure in foreign pitches are confirmed by everyone with the end of England series. He scores a lot in Indian pitches. But in IPL 2014 also his form was wavering. The question is, Gambhir is in any form! Will the flat track bully unleash his powers inside his comfort zone ?
4) What Piyush Chawla and Yusuf Pathan doing in South Africa?
Chawla and Pathan are training in SA. I don't know why? Every foreign team has come to India as early as possible to practice on these tracks. What KKR management is thinking! Why don't they practice in the match venues to understand them better? I have no clue. These two guys who were poor in the 2013 season has found form in 2014. If they screw up now KKR management is fully responsible.
Chennai Super Kings (CSK)
1) Entire bowling department
Guess the most consistent bowler of CSK is! Suresh Raina. Yes that's true, the part-time bowler. He reduces the run flow. Picks up wickets here and there. If the others could do the same CSK would have never lost a match this year.
2) Mithun Manhas
Poor fellow. Touted as the replacement of S Badrinath, stabilizer of the rocking boat. No one knows what he is doing in the team.
3) R Ashwin
Every team has analysed his variations. If he leaks runs in his first over itself, he bleeds. There is no damage control. Now that he has modified his bowling action, can he atleast stop the flow of runs.
4) Form of Dwayne Smith
His form wasn't good in the recently concluded Caribbean Premier League. Is it an one-off or his form has taken a dip?
Cricinfo Preview
Cricinfo's preview also reflects my analysis. So CSK's batting or KKR's bowling, which one will stand out!
Tip
There are too many factors affecting this match.Hyderabad is a bowling friendly venue. That gives a feeling that KKR hold the advantage. But KKR has stability issues.
So play safe.Wait till the end of first innings. If the team batting first posts below 150 go with the chasing team. Else avoid at all costs.
1 unit on the chasing team if target is below 150.
I have nearly 9 hours to post the analysis and tip for this match. I will try to post the Analysis/Tip as early as possible.
As of now, looks like I will avoid the match. But if some interesting stats/news show up I may change my mind.
Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR)
KKR generally struggled against CSK if you look at the overall head-to-head stats. But in the recent years they are at par with CSK. So let's start with an analysis of the problems KKR has.
1) Not enough international player options.
Sunil Narine, Pat Cummins have sealed their place in the bowling department. Ryan Tendoeschate is expected to play. So the 4th player should be chosen between Kallis or Russell. Injuries to Chris Lynn, Morkel and Shakib have completely depleted the foreign reserves.
2) Form of Uthappa
Top scorer of IPL 2014 is coming back after recovering from an injury. The recent news is his form is not great.
3) Form of Gambhir
Gambhir is the modern flat track bully. When he entered the international scene he was known for his technical flaws in his batting. With a tremendous flow of runs and form he silenced every criticism. Now his flaws have been picked up by every team . His failure in foreign pitches are confirmed by everyone with the end of England series. He scores a lot in Indian pitches. But in IPL 2014 also his form was wavering. The question is, Gambhir is in any form! Will the flat track bully unleash his powers inside his comfort zone ?
4) What Piyush Chawla and Yusuf Pathan doing in South Africa?
Chawla and Pathan are training in SA. I don't know why? Every foreign team has come to India as early as possible to practice on these tracks. What KKR management is thinking! Why don't they practice in the match venues to understand them better? I have no clue. These two guys who were poor in the 2013 season has found form in 2014. If they screw up now KKR management is fully responsible.
Chennai Super Kings (CSK)
1) Entire bowling department
Guess the most consistent bowler of CSK is! Suresh Raina. Yes that's true, the part-time bowler. He reduces the run flow. Picks up wickets here and there. If the others could do the same CSK would have never lost a match this year.
2) Mithun Manhas
Poor fellow. Touted as the replacement of S Badrinath, stabilizer of the rocking boat. No one knows what he is doing in the team.
3) R Ashwin
Every team has analysed his variations. If he leaks runs in his first over itself, he bleeds. There is no damage control. Now that he has modified his bowling action, can he atleast stop the flow of runs.
4) Form of Dwayne Smith
His form wasn't good in the recently concluded Caribbean Premier League. Is it an one-off or his form has taken a dip?
Cricinfo Preview
Cricinfo's preview also reflects my analysis. So CSK's batting or KKR's bowling, which one will stand out!
Tip
There are too many factors affecting this match.Hyderabad is a bowling friendly venue. That gives a feeling that KKR hold the advantage. But KKR has stability issues.
So play safe.Wait till the end of first innings. If the team batting first posts below 150 go with the chasing team. Else avoid at all costs.
1 unit on the chasing team if target is below 150.
13-16-Sep-2014 - Review of Bank and All Tip's Results
So I have started with 100$ Bank on 12-Sep-2014 and kept a unit of bet being placed at 0.5% of my bank. I am reviewing past week's performance as the West Indies v Bangladesh Test Match is over.
The bank is up by 13.32 Units or 6.66% in 4 days.
+3.46 Units from Pre-Match Tips
+9.86 Units from In-Play Tips
Keep your units as small as possible. I am keeping my 1 unit @ 0.5% of my bank. 0.25% is very good. You can keep 1 unit as 0.75 - 1% also. But don't stretch beyond that. Good Luck for the coming weeks.
Note : Since the Bank is 106$, do not think that my 1 unit is 0.53$ (0.5‰). It will be kept as 0.5$ (0.5‰ of bank) till 100 units profit is achieved.
The bank is up by 13.32 Units or 6.66% in 4 days.
+3.46 Units from Pre-Match Tips
+9.86 Units from In-Play Tips
Keep your units as small as possible. I am keeping my 1 unit @ 0.5% of my bank. 0.25% is very good. You can keep 1 unit as 0.75 - 1% also. But don't stretch beyond that. Good Luck for the coming weeks.
Note : Since the Bank is 106$, do not think that my 1 unit is 0.53$ (0.5‰). It will be kept as 0.5$ (0.5‰ of bank) till 100 units profit is achieved.
| Day | Match | Tip On | Odds | Units | Result | Profit/Loss |
| 13-Sep-14 | Northern Districts v Southern Express | Northern Districts | 4/6 | 1 | Won | 0.67 |
| 13-Sep-14 | Mumbai Indians v Lahore Lions | Avoid | - | - | - | - |
| 13-Sep-14 | West Indies v Bangladesh | West Indies | 4/9 | 1 | Won | 0.44 |
| 14-Sep-14 | Lahore Lions v Northern Districts | Avoid | - | - | - | - |
| 14-Sep-14 | Mumbai Indians v Southern Express | Mumbai Indians | 2/5 | 1 | Won | 0.40 |
| 14-Sep-14 | West Indies v Bangladesh | West Indies | 4/7 | 1 | Won | 0.57 |
| 15-Sep-14 | West Indies v Bangladesh | West Indies | 1/16 | 16 | Won | 1.00 |
| 16-Sep-14 | Lahore Lions v Southern Express | Sothern Express | 6/4 | 1 | Lost | -1.00 |
| 16-Sep-14 | Mumbai Indians v Northern Districts | Northern Districts | 11/8 | 1 | Won | 1.38 |
| 14-Sep-14 | In Play Tips | - | - | - | - | 4.00 |
| 16-Sep-14 | In Play Tips | - | - | - | - | 5.86 |
| Total | 13.32 |
13-17 Sep-2014 - 2nd Test - West Indies v Bangladesh - Review of the Tips
Day 4 – End of Match
West Indies Inns 1 – 380 All Out
Bangladesh Inns 1 – 161 All Out
West Indies Inns 2 – 269/4 Declared
Bangladesh Inns 1 – 191 All Out
Tips
1) WI @ 4/9 — 1 unit - Won
2) WI @ 4/7 — 1 unit - Won
3) WI @ 1/16 — 16 units - Won
West Indies Inns 1 – 380 All Out
Bangladesh Inns 1 – 161 All Out
West Indies Inns 2 – 269/4 Declared
Bangladesh Inns 1 – 191 All Out
Tips
1) WI @ 4/9 — 1 unit - Won
2) WI @ 4/7 — 1 unit - Won
3) WI @ 1/16 — 16 units - Won
16-Sep-2014 - Review of the Tips and Suggestions
The contrarian view won.
I posted a detailed analysis on why the bookmaker's odds are short.
I expected atleast one of the matches to be won by the underdogs. And it happened on the Northern Districts v Mumbai Indians match.
Tip
Northern Districts @ 11/8 - 1 unit - Won
Southern Express @ 6/4 - 1 unit - Lost
1.38 -1 = 0.38 Units profit.
I posted a detailed analysis on why the bookmaker's odds are short.
I expected atleast one of the matches to be won by the underdogs. And it happened on the Northern Districts v Mumbai Indians match.
Tip
Northern Districts @ 11/8 - 1 unit - Won
Southern Express @ 6/4 - 1 unit - Lost
1.38 -1 = 0.38 Units profit.
16-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - In-Play Tips
As expected the team winning the toss choose chasing. Southern express will bowl first.
Prices are from betvictor.
Match # 1
Naseer Jamshed - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 8/15 - 1 unit
LL - 20 over runs Over/Under - Over 154.5 @ 5/6 - 0.5 units .
LL: 4 overs 27/0.
LL: 8 overs 52/3.
LL: 12 overs 72/3.
LL: 16 overs 114/3.
Final score 164/6.
Naseer Jamshed is out caught. 0.57 units profit
Over 154.5 won - 0.41 units profit.
Seekuge Prasanna - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 1 unit
SE: 72/3 in 11.
85/5 in 12. Wait and watch.
Prasanna is out caught. 0.5 units won.
1.48 units profit for this match.
Match # 2
Same as before. Win toss and field. Northerns are fielding.
MI - 20 over runs Over/Under - Over 164.5 @ 5/6 - 0.5 units.
MI are struggling.
Pick ND @ 11/10 - 1 unit
Add 4 units @ 4/7
MI over 127.5 - 1 unit
MI are 46/5 in 11 overs. Do not enter the match now. Wait and watch.
Protect with 1 unit on MI @ 3/1.
Pollard is out.
125 looked impossible 132/9 MI have got. Over 127.5 has landed. Over 164.5 failed. 0.83 - 0.5 = 0.33 units profit.
Pick ND @ 4/11 - 11 units
Protect 4/1 on MI.
Protect 7/1 on MI.
The match is as good as over.
ND
11/10 - 1 Unit - Won
4/7 - 4 Units - Won
4/11 - 11 Units - Won
MI
3/1, 4/1, 7/1 - Each 1 Unit - Lost.
7.38 - 3= 4.38 units profit.
Today's total 5.86 units profit.
Prices are from betvictor.
Match # 1
Naseer Jamshed - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 8/15 - 1 unit
LL - 20 over runs Over/Under - Over 154.5 @ 5/6 - 0.5 units .
LL: 4 overs 27/0.
LL: 8 overs 52/3.
LL: 12 overs 72/3.
LL: 16 overs 114/3.
Final score 164/6.
Naseer Jamshed is out caught. 0.57 units profit
Over 154.5 won - 0.41 units profit.
Seekuge Prasanna - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 1/2 - 1 unit
SE: 72/3 in 11.
85/5 in 12. Wait and watch.
Prasanna is out caught. 0.5 units won.
1.48 units profit for this match.
Match # 2
Same as before. Win toss and field. Northerns are fielding.
MI - 20 over runs Over/Under - Over 164.5 @ 5/6 - 0.5 units.
MI are struggling.
Pick ND @ 11/10 - 1 unit
Add 4 units @ 4/7
MI over 127.5 - 1 unit
MI are 46/5 in 11 overs. Do not enter the match now. Wait and watch.
Protect with 1 unit on MI @ 3/1.
Pollard is out.
125 looked impossible 132/9 MI have got. Over 127.5 has landed. Over 164.5 failed. 0.83 - 0.5 = 0.33 units profit.
Pick ND @ 4/11 - 11 units
Protect 4/1 on MI.
Protect 7/1 on MI.
The match is as good as over.
ND
11/10 - 1 Unit - Won
4/7 - 4 Units - Won
4/11 - 11 Units - Won
MI
3/1, 4/1, 7/1 - Each 1 Unit - Lost.
7.38 - 3= 4.38 units profit.
Today's total 5.86 units profit.
Monday 15 September 2014
16-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - More Insights
All the four teams have a chance to qualify still.
Qualification Scenarios
Each and every team will want to chase today. So that they can know their qualifying options better. But the teams forced to bat first have no other option than putting an high score (180-190+) to get themselves in a comfortable position .
I expect a lot of runs today. So go for a martingale on these matches with small stakes on
Match#1
20 over runs Over/Under - Over 154.5 @ 5/6 - 0.5 units .
Naseer Jamshed - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 8/15 - 1 unit
Seekkuge Prasanna - Dismissal Method - Caught - 1 unit
Qualification Scenarios
Each and every team will want to chase today. So that they can know their qualifying options better. But the teams forced to bat first have no other option than putting an high score (180-190+) to get themselves in a comfortable position .
I expect a lot of runs today. So go for a martingale on these matches with small stakes on
Match#1
20 over runs Over/Under - Over 154.5 @ 5/6 - 0.5 units .
Naseer Jamshed - Dismissal Method - Caught @ 8/15 - 1 unit
Seekkuge Prasanna - Dismissal Method - Caught - 1 unit
16-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Tips
I have got the odds for the 16th Sep 2014 matches from BetVictor.
And I have decided to place the tips for both the matches together
Match # 1 - Lahore Lions v Southern Express
LL have played their matches as expected. Too unpredictable batting, too undependable fielding. The only thing they have done well is their bowling. But SE have somehow created chances with their batting and fielding in their matches. Only their bowling has let them down in both the matches. But LL has a win against their name which SE doesn't.
So two equal teams playing against each other. Right!!
Wrong. The bookmakers do not think so. LL are @ 8/15 and SE are @ 6/4.
Match # 2 - Mumbai Indians v Northern Districts
If a most unpredictable team award is given in this CL T20 then MI are right on top competing with LL.
Already I am seeing a war of words about Pollard's Captaincy between MI supporters and others. But in this battle I will join the others.
1) Pollard is playing 1 batsman short repeatedly.
2) The right choice of 4 international players can never be found in his team (Simmons, Hussey - Both Openers; Pollard, C Anderson - Hard Hitting All-Rounders; Malinga, De Lange - Fast Bowlers). With Malinga, Pollard cementing their places, Anderson and De Lange are bound to be left out. If Simmons or Hussey fail to deliver in this match, there sits a problem middle order.
3) Why Shreyas Gopal replaced Praveen Kumar? If Pollard wanted to play an extra bowler why can't you drop Hussey (He may have found his touch in his batting, but his fielding is not upto the mark, which he may never improve because of his age). Bring an Indian batsman in and bring the all-rounder Corey Anderson. [But going with my strategy also has its risks. What if Simmons fails! Look at point 2]
If I had to defend Pollard I would say he's just been given a wrong team. The bowling worries also need a mention here. Ojha after seeing some dropped catches went of the radar [I still prefer him as the best bowler of MI]. Harbhajan started well ended poorly. Shreyas Gopal gave too many runs. Oh don't the MI miss Praveen Kumar already. Only Malinga is his usual self.
The ND are booming with their confidence on the other hand. One factor I could not see is how really are they handling spin bowling. They were efficiently 60/4 if Akmal held on to that catch. Then they went on to 148/3. Thwarted Rasool with some sweeps who lost his confidence by witnessing dropped catches. Their first match was a 10 over affair, so nothing much can be inferred. But overall I think they are slightly struggling against spin which is not completely evident.
Update
Pawan Suyal replaces injured Praveen Kumar.
Again looking at the odds
MI are @ 4/7 and ND are @ 11/8
Tip
Both the odds on the favourites are looking too short for me. So I am taking a contrarian call.
1 Unit on ND @ 11/8
1 Unit on SE @ 6/4
The Bank is currently up by 4.5 Units. So these two bets are worth the risk.
If any one of the bets win then its a profitable day. If one thinks this is risky play for very low stakes
And I have decided to place the tips for both the matches together
Match # 1 - Lahore Lions v Southern Express
LL have played their matches as expected. Too unpredictable batting, too undependable fielding. The only thing they have done well is their bowling. But SE have somehow created chances with their batting and fielding in their matches. Only their bowling has let them down in both the matches. But LL has a win against their name which SE doesn't.
So two equal teams playing against each other. Right!!
Wrong. The bookmakers do not think so. LL are @ 8/15 and SE are @ 6/4.
Match # 2 - Mumbai Indians v Northern Districts
If a most unpredictable team award is given in this CL T20 then MI are right on top competing with LL.
Already I am seeing a war of words about Pollard's Captaincy between MI supporters and others. But in this battle I will join the others.
1) Pollard is playing 1 batsman short repeatedly.
2) The right choice of 4 international players can never be found in his team (Simmons, Hussey - Both Openers; Pollard, C Anderson - Hard Hitting All-Rounders; Malinga, De Lange - Fast Bowlers). With Malinga, Pollard cementing their places, Anderson and De Lange are bound to be left out. If Simmons or Hussey fail to deliver in this match, there sits a problem middle order.
3) Why Shreyas Gopal replaced Praveen Kumar? If Pollard wanted to play an extra bowler why can't you drop Hussey (He may have found his touch in his batting, but his fielding is not upto the mark, which he may never improve because of his age). Bring an Indian batsman in and bring the all-rounder Corey Anderson. [But going with my strategy also has its risks. What if Simmons fails! Look at point 2]
If I had to defend Pollard I would say he's just been given a wrong team. The bowling worries also need a mention here. Ojha after seeing some dropped catches went of the radar [I still prefer him as the best bowler of MI]. Harbhajan started well ended poorly. Shreyas Gopal gave too many runs. Oh don't the MI miss Praveen Kumar already. Only Malinga is his usual self.
The ND are booming with their confidence on the other hand. One factor I could not see is how really are they handling spin bowling. They were efficiently 60/4 if Akmal held on to that catch. Then they went on to 148/3. Thwarted Rasool with some sweeps who lost his confidence by witnessing dropped catches. Their first match was a 10 over affair, so nothing much can be inferred. But overall I think they are slightly struggling against spin which is not completely evident.
Update
Pawan Suyal replaces injured Praveen Kumar.
Again looking at the odds
MI are @ 4/7 and ND are @ 11/8
Tip
Both the odds on the favourites are looking too short for me. So I am taking a contrarian call.
1 Unit on ND @ 11/8
1 Unit on SE @ 6/4
The Bank is currently up by 4.5 Units. So these two bets are worth the risk.
If any one of the bets win then its a profitable day. If one thinks this is risky play for very low stakes
13-17 Sep-2014 - 2nd Test - West Indies v Bangladesh - Day 2 Stumps Update
Day 2 – At Stumps
West Indies Inns 1 – 380 All Out
Bangladesh Inns 1 – 104/7.
WI fast bowlers ran through the BD batting order. WI are sitting on top prettily.
Tip - The odds on WI is now @ 1/16 - BetVictor. Ride them and add 16 units.
Previous Tips
1) WI @ 4/9 — 1 unit
2) WI @ 4/7 — 1 unit
West Indies Inns 1 – 380 All Out
Bangladesh Inns 1 – 104/7.
WI fast bowlers ran through the BD batting order. WI are sitting on top prettily.
Tip - The odds on WI is now @ 1/16 - BetVictor. Ride them and add 16 units.
Previous Tips
1) WI @ 4/9 — 1 unit
2) WI @ 4/7 — 1 unit
Sunday 14 September 2014
14-Sep-2014 - Review of the Tips and Suggestions
CL T20 - Lahore Lions v Northern Districts
LL dropped catches and stumping chances and lost the match. If the target was set at 140-150 the match would have had a different result.
Out of my three strategies any one who took the third strategy would have won. For the second strategy ND were pushed for a maximum of 7/4. Anyone covered their investment at that price would have escaped. First strategy failed because the chasing team lost.
And I have posted tips for In-Play and 2 units profit was made.
Tip - Avoid
In-Play Tip -
LL @ 4/7 - 1 unit - Lost
ND @ 1/5 - 10 units - Won
ND @ 1/33 - 33 units - Won
CL T20 - Mumbai Indians v Southern Express
Praveen Kumar didn't play because of an injury and Shreyas Gopal was included. His leaking of runs and some missed catches helped SE reach 161. MI went slow for the first 6 overs by scoring 37. Then the next 64 balls produced 128 runs.
Total of 2.4 units profit.
Tip - Mumbai Indians @ 2/5 - 1 unit - Won
In-Play Tip - Mumbai Indians @ 1/5 - 10 units - Won
2nd Test - West Indies v Bangladesh
Day 2 - At Stumps
WI - 380 All Out, BD - 104/7.
Tip - WI @ 4/9 — 1 unit
WI @ 4/7 — 1 unit
LL dropped catches and stumping chances and lost the match. If the target was set at 140-150 the match would have had a different result.
Out of my three strategies any one who took the third strategy would have won. For the second strategy ND were pushed for a maximum of 7/4. Anyone covered their investment at that price would have escaped. First strategy failed because the chasing team lost.
And I have posted tips for In-Play and 2 units profit was made.
Tip - Avoid
In-Play Tip -
LL @ 4/7 - 1 unit - Lost
ND @ 1/5 - 10 units - Won
ND @ 1/33 - 33 units - Won
CL T20 - Mumbai Indians v Southern Express
Praveen Kumar didn't play because of an injury and Shreyas Gopal was included. His leaking of runs and some missed catches helped SE reach 161. MI went slow for the first 6 overs by scoring 37. Then the next 64 balls produced 128 runs.
Total of 2.4 units profit.
Tip - Mumbai Indians @ 2/5 - 1 unit - Won
In-Play Tip - Mumbai Indians @ 1/5 - 10 units - Won
2nd Test - West Indies v Bangladesh
Day 2 - At Stumps
WI - 380 All Out, BD - 104/7.
Tip - WI @ 4/9 — 1 unit
WI @ 4/7 — 1 unit
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)