CL T20 - Stat-Attack #2

Have you ever burnt your purse by playing some martingale strategies for quick bucks! Then this is a working strategy for you.

Me and one of my betting circle friends were discussing about strategies yesterday. I told him my favorite market is Dismissal Method [As you would have seen from some of my insights]. He said it's nearly impossible to make money in that market because of the unpredictability. I proved him wrong by showing my strategy.

 

My strategy is very simple. Pick a batsman who has scored a minimum of 30 runs to get out caught.

This table below shows  the stats from this CL T20.

 

	50+				30-49				Combined
Match#	Caught	Other	Not Out		Caught	Other	Not Out		Caught	Other	Not Out
1		1			1	1			1	2	0
2					2		1		2	0	1
3	1	2							1	2	0
4	1		1		1		1		2	0	2
5	1				2				3	0	0
6	1				2				3	0	0
7			1			1	1		0	1	2
8					1		2		1	0	2
9		1	1		1				1	1	1
10			1		2		1		2	0	2
11	1		1			1	1		1	1	2
12	1		1		1		1		2	0	2
13	1	1			1	1			2	2	0
14	1				4	1	1		5	1	1
15	1				2		1		3	0	1
16			1		1		1		1	0	2
17									0	0	0
18		1	1			2			0	3	1
19	1	1					1		1	1	1
20			1		1	1	1		1	1	2
21					2		1		2	0	1
22					1		1		1	0	1
23					2		1		2	0	1
24			2		2	1			2	1	2
	10	7	11		29	9	16		39	16	27

 

If you had just picked Dismissal Method - Caught after a batsman scoring 30, you would have won 39 bets with general odds of 1/2, lost 16 and 27 bets going void. Which finally translates to 82 bets (Say 1 bet = 1$), you would have ended with 3.5$ (4.37%) profit.

But I do a martingale on these bets and I expect 0.1% of my purse for each bet. Right now at this point of this tournament, I am standing at a neat 8.2% returns.

But one can see if a batsman scores a 50, the chances of getting out caught goes down. This is because batsmen tend to get more aggressive after their 50. One can also cover their investments after a batsman reaches 50, which will reduce the risk in this strategy.

Why Batsmen with Scores Above 30?

1) It is hard to predict how an unsettled batsmen will choose to play.

2) Match-Fixing/Spot-Fixing. If a batsman is ready to throw his wicket away, he will take any means necessary to get out early [What if the dismissal method market is itself fixed??].

Why I haven't covered this strategy earlier in my blog?

Simple. No one would believe. This is not a get rich quick scheme. These are all my tried and tested strategies to make money. It needs a lot of time and patience to strike at the right moment. That's were gamblers lose money and complain no one can make money in Cricket Betting. So I wanted to show my safer methods first and then the more riskier ones.

Also I don't cover the returns of my personal strategies in the Bank I am showing. These are medium-high risk strategies. One has to be very careful while applying these strategies.I have separate purses for each strategy.

I'll let you know how I make money. But you must take necessary caution before doing so. My Stat-Attacks will follow with more strategies like this.