Friday 31 October 2014

01-Nov-14 - Georgie Pie Super Smash T20 - Cricket Betting Tips

I'm very proud to say that, "Of all the tipsters online, I'm the only one to cover Georgie Pie Super Smash T20"

For the beginners, this is the Premier Domestic T20 tournament in New Zealand.

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Wednesday 29 October 2014

30-Oct — 02-Nov-14 - Sheffield Shield - Cricket Betting Tips

The Sheffield Shield matches begin tomorrow. The first half of the tournament happens till first week of December. After the Big Bash in Dec-Jan, the tournament resumes on January.

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30-Oct — 03-Nov-14 - Pakistan v Australia - Cricket Betting Tips

30-Oct — 03-Nov-14 - 6.00 GMT
Pakistan v Australia
2nd Test, Abu Dhabi

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Australians clearly failed the spin test in the first match of the series. But I am not going to pick Pakistan as outright winners just yet for this match.





Tuesday 28 October 2014

Odds For The Upcoming Matches

After a short break of 3 days, Cricketing action returns. November schedule is totally jam packed with a lot of action from various international series and Ram Slam T20.

Update

Bet365 are opening Sheffield Shield. Check with your bookmakers.


My Thoughts on My Blog

The second half of the month is very exciting because I'm into many new territories.

Monday 27 October 2014

What's in store for Cricket Punters in November

Ram-Slam T20 2014 - 28 T20s (Out of 32)

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India v Sri Lanka - 5 ODIs

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Australia v South Africa - 5 ODIs, 3 T20Is

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Pakistan v New Zealand - 3 Tests

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Bangladesh v Zimbabwe - 5 ODIs, 2 Tests

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Sri Lanka v England - 2 ODIs (Out of 7)

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16-30 Oct-14 - Review of Tips and Bank

First half of the month October was slightly disappointing. Matador Cup largely provided the surprising results. But 2nd half of the month went very well. Tips have fared better and the profits are also better.

25-29 Oct-14 - Bangladesh v Zimbabwe - Review

The match with quickest and easiest of returns this month.

From Day 1, Draw never troubled the punters as wickets fell in heap. And the match ended in 3 days. Yay!!


26-Oct-2014 - New Zealand v South Africa - Review

South Africans were converting a weak start towards a mammoth total. Rain intervened and took over the game completely.

Sunday 26 October 2014

26-Oct-2014 - New Zealand v South Africa - More Insights

A strange market has caught my eye today in Bet365. You have very short time to decide whether to take it or leave it.

26-Oct-2014 - New Zealand v South Africa - Cricket Betting Tips

New Zealand v South Africa
3rd ODI - Seddon Park, Hamilton
Oct 26, 2014 21:30 GMT
[Oct 27, 2014 10:30 Local Time]

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26-Oct-14 - Momentum One-Day Cup - Review

All the Tips have won today. Awaiting South Africa v New Zealand match.

None of the Momentum Cup matches went In-Play with Bet365.

26-Oct-14 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Western Australia v New South Wales - Review

Western Australia should have posted 270+. But they have restricted themselves to a 255. Then they started their defence strong by pushing New South Wales to 10/2.

22-26 Oct-14 - Pakistan v Australia - Review

Finally after converting a losing situation to a winning situation and then pushing it towards a draw (by dropping chances) Pakistan won.

So my thoughts on Australia faltering at longer versions came true.

Saturday 25 October 2014

26-Oct-14 - Momentum One-Day Cup - Cricket Betting Tips

Due to time constraints I'll be posting a very short Analysis and Tips.

Very surprised because of one thing. Ram-Slam is sandwiched in-between. So this tournament resumes only on Jan 2015 after these 3 matches. Strange!

Had a look at Bet365. They haven't decided which match goes In-Play yet.

26-Oct-14 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Western Australia v New South Wales - Cricket Betting Tips

Matador BBQs One-Day Cup
26-Oct-14 - 03.00 GMT
SCG, Sydney

Final - Western Australia v New South Wales

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Friday 24 October 2014

25-29 Oct-14 - Bangladesh v Zimbabwe - Cricket Betting Tips

25-29 Oct-2014 - 4.00 GMT
1st Test, Dhaka

Bangladesh v Zimbabwe

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24-Oct-14 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

A day of mixed emotions. 4 out of 5 tips landed, but one of the most trusted bets lost. Happy to end on a profit though.

South Africa v New Zealand

Clearly a one sided match. Tip won without trouble.

Tip
South Africa - 4/9 - 4.5$ - Won




New South Wales v Queensland

NSW after a strong start looked to breeze through the match. At 175/4 they lost two quick wickets to land the tip. They were priced 7/4 at that moment. The 7th wicket partnership made sure of the win.

In-Play tips also landed to give another 1.5$.

Tip
Swing of fortunes @ 6/4 - 1$ - Won




Warriors v Knights

Warriors were available @ 11/8 after a slow start to their chase. As I have mentioned the bookmakers got the odds wrong. Warriors are losing the match.

Tip
Swing of Fortunes - Pick Knights @ 11/8 and Go In-Play to pick Warriors @ 11/8 - 0.5$ - Won




Lions v Dolphins

Dolphins restricted Lions to a below par total. Started the chase strong. Lost 2 wickets in a pair twice. Zondo made sure the bowlers' effort wasn't wasted.

Tip
Dolphins @ 1/1 - 0.25$ - Won




Titans v Cape Cobras

Most surprising match. On a clear batting surface, even with 32 extras Cape Cobras mustered only 208. Which would be never enough on this surface.

Tip
Cape Cobras @ 8/15 - 3$ - Lost




Overall
2+1.5+0.5+0.18+0.25-3 = 1.43$ profit

Bank: 129+1.43 = 130.43$






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24-Oct-14 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - New South Wales v Queensland - In-Play Tips

NSW have made a strong start to the chase.

Pick NSW @ 1/7 - 28$

NSW are very slow all of a sudden.
Cover on QLD @ 8/1 - 3.5$

Covered on time. NSW loses a wicket. NSW @ 1/5 - 5$

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Thursday 23 October 2014

24-Oct-14 - Momentum One-Day Cup - Warriors v Knights - Cricket Betting Tips

Momentum One-Day Cup
24-Oct-14 - 13.00 GMT
East London

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This is the first time Warriors and Knights are meeting against each other in this tournament. Also this is the first match to be played in East London.

Knights have Played 4, Lost 3 with 1 No Result. Warriors have played 3, Won 1 and Lost 2.

Odds for the match:
Warriors - 4/7
Knights - 11/8



24-Oct-14 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - New South Wales v Queensland - Cricket Betting Tips

Matador BBQs One-Day Cup
24-Oct-14 - 03.00 GMT
Blacktown Oval, Sydney

Elimination Final
New South Wales v Queensland

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Both teams are depleted of their main players to injuries. NSW are replacing Moises Henriques with Shane Watson. But Watson is expected to play as a batsman. QLD are looking for a replacement for their opener Khawaja.



24-Oct-14 - Momentum One-Day Cup - Titans v Cape Cobras - Cricket Betting Tips

Momentum One-Day Cup
24-Oct-14 - 13.00 GMT
Centurion

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Titans and Cobras are meeting against each other for the first time in this tournament. This is the second match happening in Centurion.

Cobras have Played 4, Won 4 and tops the table. Titans have played 3, Won 0 and 1 No Result and are placed last.

Looking at the odds: Cobras are @ 8/15 and Titans are @ 6/4.



24-Oct-14 - Momentum One-Day Cup - Lions v Dolphins - Cricket Betting Tips

Momentum One-Day Cup
24-Oct-14 - 13.00 GMT
Potchefstroom

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Lions and Dolphins are playing against each other for the second time in this tournament. In their first match Lions scored 233 and Dolphins were 1/1 before rain washed the game out.

Both the teams have Played 4, Won 2, Lost 1 and No Result 1. Dolphins are placed 2nd because of a better Net Run Rate.

Looking at the odds: Lions are @ 4/5 and Dolphins are @ 1/1.



23-Oct-2014 - New Zealand v South Africa - Cricket Betting Tips

New Zealand v South Africa
2nd ODI - Mount Maunganui
Oct 23, 2014 21:30 GMT
[Oct 24, 2014 10:30 Local Time]

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Wednesday 22 October 2014

Odds for The Upcoming Cricket Matches

Matador BBQs One-Day Cup
24-Oct-14

New South Wales v Queensland
New South Wales - 1/1
Queensland - 4/5





22-Oct-14 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

Western Australia v Queensland

Avoid was the tip. It turned out very well. Another freakish match added to this year's Matador cup. Western Australia's fatigue issues have started to appear evidently. Whoever picked up Queensland after my suggestion would be happy.

Tasmania v South Australia

South Australia started strongly. At 212/3 in 35 overs they were easily looking at 325+. But they ended up at 295. If any of the Tasmania batsmen supported Ben Dunk the match would have had a different result. I was able to escape without any loss by going In-Play. No profits either.

Cape Cobras v Knights

The match is still going on. But I have comfortably placed myself with a profit of 0.5$ whatever happens.

Overall

0.5$ profit.
Bank : 128.5 + 0.5 = 129$.



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22-Oct-14 - Momentum One-Day Cup - Cape Cobras v Knights - In-Play Tips

Cobras have made a good start. Chasing is easier but above 275 is a bit tricky. Wait and watch.

46/0 in 11 overs. The main bowlers are done with their spells. Cobras should score big. Pick Cobras @ 4/11 - 5.5$

49/1 in 12. Still it's a good base for a strong score. Add 1$ on Cobras @1/2.

Blistering knock in the last 5 overs gets Cobras to 285. Cover on Knights @ 4/1 - 1.5$

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22-Oct-14 - Momentum One-Day Cup - Cape Cobras v Knights - Cricket Betting Tips

Momentum One-Day Cup
22-Oct-14 - 13.00 GMT
Cape Town

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Cape Cobras v Knights

Cobras convincingly defeated Knights in their previous encounter. Cobras are First in the points table and Knights are Fifth.

Bookmakers are providing an odds of 2/5 on Cobras and Knights are priced at 2/1.

I think the odds are right to say Cobras are favorites, but they are clearly very short. I'll tell you why very soon.

Cobras have a strong batting and bowling line-up on paper. I have no complaints on their batting. The bowling is not up to the mark.
Cobras have given away more runs in their first 15 overs, than they managed to score against their oppositions (Except Knights). Their opponents failed to chase the targets because of score board pressure after getting good starts. On the other hand Knights tend to play aggressively for the first 15 overs.

If I consider the match Cobras v Knights, from 0/2 and 7/3 Knights managed well till 90/3. Soon they were 90/6. Still they were able to post 162.

This is the first match in Cape Town in this series. Chasing is much easier here. Since both the teams have bowling issues, I think the team that is chasing has more chance.

Tip
Chasing team to win.
If Cobras are chasing - 2$
If Knights are chasing - 0.5$

Bank as of 20-Oct - 128.5$



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22-26 Oct-14 - Pakistan v Australia - Cricket Betting Tips

22-26 Oct-2014 - 6.00 GMT
1st Test - Dubai, UAE

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Pakistan v Australia

People who are visiting the blog regularly would have spotted a trend. From the T20I to ODIs, my loyalty from Australia has been shifting towards Pakistan. Even though the Pakistanis won none of the matches, the trend would continue for the test series also.

Read my previous reviews of T20I, ODI 1, ODI 2, ODI 3.

Odds for the match as of today is
Pakistan - 4/1
Australia - 7/10
Draw - 5/2




Finally after a long wait both squads are announced. Both teams have announced a 16 member squad.

Squads

Australia

Chris Rogers
David Warner
Alex Doolan
Michael Clarke
Steven Smith
Phillip Hughes
Mitchell Marsh
Glenn Maxwell
Brad Haddin
Mitchell Johnson
Peter Siddle
Steve O'Keefe
Nathan Lyon
Ben Hilfenhaus
Mitchell Starc
James Faulkner

Pakistan

Misbah-ul-Haq
Ahmed Shehzad
Asad Shafiq
Azhar Ali
Ehsan Adil
Haris Sohail
Imran Khan
Mohammad Hafeez
Mohammad Talha
Rahat Ali
Sarfraz Ahmed
Shan Masood
Taufeeq Umar
Yasir Shah
Younis Khan
Zulfiqar Babar




Analysis

The UAE heat is something that has bothered me from choosing Australia as clear winners. All the 4 matches that has happened in this series, I have got my tips right. And my thoughts are getting more substantiated by each passing day.

Australia

1) All the matches started after 4.30 pm to avoid playing in the desert heat. You don't have that luxury in test matches. The gruelling desert heat is something you have to deal with.

2) A long series in UAE means more injuries. Australia's in-form batsman Warner is suffering from an injury. It's just a matter of time before any one of Marsh, Johnson, Siddle and Clarke gets injured (All are coming back from injuries). Australian's should be praying that no more casualties are added.

3) The performance on the practice match is an worrying indicator. The longer the game is, more the spin overs. Losing the match against 2nd string spin bowlers is not a great start.

Pakistan

If Australia has to address many issues, Pakistan has too many.

1) Younis Khan is coming back after having issues with his board. Can he fire or fade away?
Misbah is not in any form for quite some time. Now his morale at an all-time low, is there a possibility of a strong performance by him?

As these two players form the middle order, for me it looks completely empty.

2) Spin Bowlers: Pakistan's first choice spin bowlers hadn't had much impact on the previous matches. The second string bowlers troubling Australia may make them happy. But all the front line bowlers' tricks would have been analysed by the Australian team. Do they have more tricks to beat them?

3) Fast bowlers: Unexpectedly all front line fast bowlers of Pakistan are ruled out with injuries. Can the selected ones provide a surprise performance?

4) Do they have enough mental strength to play aggressive Cricket after losing 3 ODIs and a T20I?




I couldn't completely trust Pakistan after their dismal performance. I am not completely convinced of the Australian's either.

Tip

There is no clear winner in my opinion. But the game ending in a Draw is also out of the equation. Both teams doesn't have it in them to play 450 overs, over a period of 5 days. With spinners expected to play a major part 460-470 overs is a possibility. Rain is not a worry in the desert.

Double Chance - Australia or Pakistan - 2/7 - 7$

If you have more risk appetite pick Pakistan and cover on Australia above Evens.

Bank as of 20-Oct - 128.5$



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Tuesday 21 October 2014

21-Oct-14 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Tasmania v South Australia - In-Play Tips

Cover on South Australia 1/33 - 33$



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21-Oct-14 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Western Australia v Queensland - Cricket Betting Tips

Matador BBQs One-Day Cup
21-Oct-14 - 23.00 GMT
Bankstown Oval, Sydney

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Western Australia v Queensland

Table toppers Western Australia are @ 4/5 and 2nd placed Queensland are @ Evens with the bookmakers.

Both the teams will be fighting tooth and nail to be the table topper, since it gives them a direct access to the finals.

Tip

WA are having fatigue issues, so I preferred Queensland. Since this match is not going In-Play I'll be avoiding this match.

Avoid

Play low stakes, if you still want to enter.

Bank as of 20-Oct - 128.5$


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21-Oct-14 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Tasmania v South Australia - Cricket Betting Tips

Matador BBQs One-Day Cup
21-Oct-14 - 23.00 GMT
North Sydney Oval, Sydney

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Tasmania v South Australia


One of the last two Round-Robin matches before the elimination final. Tasmania are @ 1/2 and South Australia are @ 13/8 with the bookmakers.

Tasmania are doing fine with the bat once they have come to Sydney. But their bowling is not up to the mark. Their batsmen finding the touch has done them greater good. After scoring 398 and losing the match, they won their next match. This shows they are ready to put a fight.

South Australia are the whipping boys of the tournament. They threw away their grip in some of the matches. Other matches they have been outplayed.

Tasmania still has a chance to make it to the elimination final. If they win big and get the bonus points, they will take the third place in the table taking over NSW. South Australia are just playing for pride.

North Sydney Oval does not have any advantage over the toss. Teams batting first have won twice and chasing teams have won twice. But all matches were high scoring ones.

Tip
Tasmania has more stakes in this match than South Australia. Their coming-back-to-form batsmen has got national call-ups. This will increase their confidence. The powerful Tasmania batting lineup and a weak South Australia bowling line up is the deciding factor for this tip.

Tasmania @ 1/2 - 1$

I will be playing low stakes, because later stages of Australian domestic tournaments are generally full of surprises.


Bank as of 20-Oct - 128.5$

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My Thoughts on My Blog

When I started writing this blog, I was worried about certain things. Will a good number of people read this? Can I capture the attention of a bigger audience? Can I satisfy them consistently and create a set of followers?

Till now, the blog has given satisfactory answers to all these questions. I have set myself a target of 1000 page hits within a year. I have managed to reach 2000 in nearly 30 days. In this pace (65 hits per day), I will be reaching 20-25K hits within 1 year.

Weekly once, I reduce the number of posts that I write for one day. I average 3-4 posts a day. But only on those days, I write a maximum of 2 posts. This is to check how many visitors are coming back regularly. 2 weeks back the number of loyal and unique visitors stood at 10-15. Now it's slightly above 30.

This month I received 2 feedbacks. First one came from my friend.

I am not discussing about other markets much. Only Match winner tips are provided.

Because of time constraints, I cannot analyse the other markets. Right now I am happy to use my trusted strategies to play the other markets (Read my Stat-Attack 1, 2, 3). To decide on the match markets, I analyse more than 2 hours a day. Writing the tips takes another hour.

I am writing about Cricket Betting because (I am hooked up to  Cricket and Betting) I think my strategies can help someone to make profits.

As I have been repeatedly saying, I would be keeping the tips absolutely free. If I have to take blogging full-time then I have to consider money blogging. I would be needing somewhere about 3000-6000 hits a day to go for services like AdSense because I have no intention of charging the individuals.

It's just a matter of 2-3 years (If my blog audience increases at the current rate) I can do this full-time. If I'm doing it full-time then more markets can be covered. Be patient till that happens.

The second feedback was about the confusion in match day and the units used for match tip.

The match day problem has been solved easily. I will be taking the start time of the match in GMT. So the readers have to interpret according to their time zones.

When I started using units for the tips no one complained, but I have kept my fingers crossed. Finally after a month, I have received a feedback.

Right now I can think about only one solution to the problem. I will be mentioning both the Bank balance and the amount to bet in $. I think this will solve two problems. The amount to bet can be easily calculated from your Bank Balance. Also I don't have to write a review about the Bank periodically.

As of 15 October the Bank was at 49 units profit. Last 5 days (including the NZ v SA ODI match) has given a profit of 8 units. So the total profit 57 units translates to 28.5$. From today I'll be starting with a Bank of 128.5$.

Hope this clears some confusions. Let me know, I'm always happy to hear more from all of you.



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Sunday 19 October 2014

20-Oct-2014 - Update

I have got a feedback from one of the regular site visitors that, the units I have been mentioning for each tip is slightly confusing.

I have decided to put this on hold for some time till I find the perfect way to track my daily record.

From now on I'll be providing only the tips for a short period of time. Individuals should decide their own staking plans.

I'm not retiring this feature, I will revamp and bring it back in a more efficient and easy to understand manner.



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20-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - New South Wales v Tasmania

The match begins at 3.00 GMT on 20th October.

New South Wales were handed over a freakish defeat last match. Also they have lost their all-rounder Moises Henriques to injury.

Bookmakers are still keeping NSW at 8/13 and TAS at 6/5. I think the odds are wrong. NSW are already missing 9 players to international duties and injuries. Now 10th one has been added to the list.

Tip
Pick Tasmania @ 6/5. Cover on NSW above 2/1.



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20-Oct-2014 - 1st ODI - New Zealand v South Africa

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From now on I'll be taking the start time of the match in GMT to avoid the confusion of the match day.

So this match starts at 21.30 GMT on 20th of October.

South Africa are on a short tour to New Zealand, where they begin their World Cup preparations.

South African squad announcement has come a week ago. But New Zealand are yet to announce their squad. Only news that is available right now is Ross Taylor and Milne are ruled out of the entire series, while Kane Williamson won't be fit for the first ODI.

South Africa were 8/13 a day ago with the bookmakers and the odds are dropping day by day. Now SA are at 4/7 and NZ are at 11/8.

As South African squad looks very convincing, I'll be going with them for the first ODI.

Tip
South Africa - 4/7 - 14 units.



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19-Oct-2014 - Momentum One-Day Cup

Cape Cobras v Lions

Cape Cobras - 8/11
Lions - 11/10

This will be the first time after two matches Cobras will be facing a stronger bowling unit. I think, win or lose Lions will be of lot of trouble.

Tip
Swing of fortunes @ 6/4 - 1 Units




Knights v Titans

Titans - 8/13
Knights - 13/10

Both teams are equally inconsistent this tournament. So both teams are expected to show no real grip over the other.

Tip
Swing of fortunes @ 6/4 - 1 Units

Update
Looks like this match is not going to open In-Play, Pick Knights 13/10 - 0.5 units





Dolphins v Warriors

Dolphins - 8/15
Warriors - 6/4

With only Colin Ingram coming good with the bat and a bowling line up with nothing worth mentioning, Warriors have little chance against Dolphins.

Tip
Dolphins @ 8/15 - 4 units






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Saturday 18 October 2014

19-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Western Australia v Victoria

There's nothing much to talk about Western Australia, except some slight fatigue beginning to appear after 4 straight wins.

Victoria's problems are quite different. They had a powerful unit for the last two tournaments. Continuing with the same unit made their team an old age home. Only the class of the players is left, form has deserted them. Ageing  above 30 isn't the right time where you discover your lost form quickly.

Victoria bowlers are also facing a dip in form. WA has a good depth in batting as I have mentioned repeatedly.

Tip
Pick WA at 4/6 - 3 units. Cover on Victoria around 2/1.



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01-15 Oct-2014 - Review of Bank and Tips

The first half of October ended in a profit, even after a disastrous day (08-October).

The initial stage of Matador One Day Cup was a lot of trouble. But the International matches and some wise In-Play selections landed me on good profits.

My detailed analysis shows that Matador Cup matches played in Woolloongabba were the most unpredictable. Once it is out of the picture, the quality of the tips improved.

I have provided tips for 21 matches in this period. My 10 tips won, 8 of them lost and 3 matches were avoided. Out of the 8 losses 7 came from Matador Cup and out of which 5 are pointing to Woolloongabba.

Matador Cup — 12 matches; 2 wins and 7 losses (3 avoided).
Others — 9 matches; 8 wins and 1 loss.

September 30th stats showed Bank standing at 38.68 units profit (Pre-Match - 15.34, In-Play - 23.34).

The first 15 days of October shows Pre-Match tips standing at a loss of 12.72 units and In-Play tips making a profit of 23 units. So finally a profit of 10.28 units profit has been made.

Now the Bank stands at a very healthy 48.96 units or 24.48% profit. (Pre-Match - 2.62, In-Play - 46.34).



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18-Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

When the world would have panicked, I was quite happy. Because I wasn't looking at 8 an over, I was only looking at half of it.

Even though Tasmania posted a mammoth 398, they managed only 56 in first 15 overs. The required runs were easily overhauled by Queensland. They managed to do so in 8 overs.

Not only the bet was realized much quicker, I have made high profits.

Tip
Most runs in first 15 overs -  Queensland @ 8/11 - 1 unit - Won

Overall
0.72 units profit



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Friday 17 October 2014

18-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Queensland v Tasmania

Queensland are firm favorites with the bookmakers @ 4/7 and Tasmania are priced @ 11/8.

Queensland are placed third in the points table right now, Tasmania are placed fifth. Tasmania lost their matches because of a very inconsistent batting line up. To add to their misery one match also got washed out because of rain.

Things are looking fine for Queensland win, but Australian domestic tournaments are full of surprises at the later stages. So I'll be taking a different pre-match market this time.

Tip
Most runs in first 15 overs -  Queensland @ 8/11 - 1 unit



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17-Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

Yesterday was a mixed day, 6 pre-match tips ended with 3 wins and 3 losses. The only insight provided also lost. But the day still ended on a profit.

Let's quickly assess the tips one by one.




India v West Indies - 4th ODI

BCCI's tendency to create batting surfaces when Indian team is struggling, cost both my match tip and insight. Dharamsala is generally a bowler friendly surface. My tip was based on the idea that, the natural behavior of the surface won't be tinkered with.

After a strong score being posted and West Indies starting their innings very badly meant, no cover on India can be made to escape from a loss.

Tip
Expecting a slightly low scoring match (Below 260). Pick WI @ 2/1 - 0.5 units. Cover on India near evens - Lost

50 overs runs over under - 293.5 @ 5/6 which looks too huge for me. Go under - 1 unit - Lost




Matador BBQs One-Day Cup

Western Australia v Southern Australia

After restricting SA to a below par total, WA nearly spoilt the chase by losing a couple of quick wickets at the end of the chase. The tail made sure of the win by batting responsibly.

Tip
Western Australia - 8/15 - 3 units - Won

New South Wales v Victoria

The most irritating match of the day. NSW restricted Victoria to an on par 245 and started the chase well. Once one of their batsmen was retired hurt, they started playing painfully slow and left everything for the last five overs. Still they scored everything required well for four overs and needed 8 from the last over. They mustered only 5 from the last over. In the previous 5 overs the minimum runs scored was 9.

This is the second mysterious last over of the week; from a mere formality teams completely throwing the game away. If you had picked Australia before last over against Pakistan and went for an Acca on this match for 1$ investment you would have had 144$.

I had no time to post an in play tip. Before I could do something everything was over. I have actually managed to cover from a loss. Since I haven't posted an update on time I would consider this a loss.

Tip
Sydney is a good pitch for runs. So if NSW are batting first it gives an advantage to Victoria.
Chasing team to win - 1 unit - Lost




Momentum One-Day Cup

Australian domestic matches may be difficult to predict, but South African domestic is not.

Knights v Dolphins

Even though Knights made a good chase, Dolphins score of 367 is too big to reach.

Tip
Dolphins @ 4/7 - 7 Units - Won

Lions v Titans

Titans did not chase an on par 260 very well. I thought in this match would have the fortunes swinging, but thought chasing team winning had more merit. Titans batting lacked application which caused them to lose the match.

Tip
Chasing team to win - 1 unit - Lost

Warriors v Cape Cobras

Warriors started the chase brightly But faded away very soon.

Tip
Cape Cobras @ 1/2 - 1 unit - Won




Overall

-1-1+1.6-1+4-1+0.5 = 2.1 units profit.



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17-Oct-2014 - India v West Indies - More Insights

Bet365 are asking for 50 overs runs over under - 293.5 @ 5/6 which looks too huge for me. Go under - 1 unit.



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17-Oct-2014 - India v West Indies - Update

The tip holds true as India is batting first. If India scores below 250, there is a very high risk of losing the match. Heavy dew expected later. If you have more risk appetite play West Indies, otherwise cover on India when higher odds are available.



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Thursday 16 October 2014

17-Oct-2014 - Momentum One-Day Cup

Knights v Dolphins

Against the batting might and bowling strength of Dolphins, Knights stand a very little chance

Tip
Dolphins @ 4/7 - 7 Units




Lions v Titans

Both are equal teams where Titans batting is stronger. Johannesburg is a nice batting surface. Because it's a day night match, I expect the chasing team to win.

Tip
Chasing team to win - 1 unit




Warriors v Cape Cobras

Cape Cobras are looking very strong on paper. This instance I'll pick them with small stakes.

Tip
Cape Cobras @ 1/2 - 1 unit






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17-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - New South Wales v Victoria

New South Wales are on top of the table and Victorians are languishing at the bottom.

But NSW are missing 9 frontline players. They struggled before winning in three of their matches. They have not got much from bonus points compared to Western Australia. They have won all the matches chasing.

Victorians are affected by the form of their batsmen. Still their run rate was above 5 in all the matches. If some of their batsmen can stand up they'll be a tough team to beat.

Tip
Sydney is a good pitch for runs. So if NSW are batting first it gives an advantage to Victoria.
Chasing team to win - 1 unit.



Posted from WordPress for Android

17-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Western Australia v South Australia

Western Australia have won all their matches they've played and one got washed out. While the South Australians are at the other end of the spectrum having lost four in four.

I don't think South Australians have much of a chance with the form and squad issues that they are facing right now.

Tip
Western Australia - 8/15 - 3 units

Wednesday 15 October 2014

17-Oct-2014 - 4th ODI - India v West Indies

image


6 matches tomorrow and a lot to discuss. So I'll try to keep things a bit short.

Dharmasala is the venue. An year back BCCI advised players to practice over there to get accustomed to foreign conditions. Because of the high altitude swing resembles English conditions and it's a bouncy track which resembles Australian conditions.

So WI gain an advantage while considering the bowling department. But after a good performance with the bat in the first ODI, they batted poorly in the second ODI.

Tip
Expecting a slightly low scoring match (Below 260). Pick WI @ 2/1 - 0.5 units. Cover on India near evens.

It's winter in India and northern India faces extreme dew. Chasing has a clear advantage. Wait for the toss. I may revisit this tip after toss.

14-15 Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

14-Oct-2014
Queensland v Victoria

The reverse fixture streak was not broken, Also the match was a one sided contest.

Tip
Odds or not favoring Victoria, But I'm thinking differently. Pick Victoria for 0.5 units pre-match @ 11/10. Also play for swing of fortunes 6/4 or 11/8 on both teams with bias towards Victoria - 1 to 2 units. I am expecting Victoria to struggle before winning. Also a small streak of favorites winning the match is occurring. - Lost - -2.5 units

15-Oct-2014

Australia or South Africa doesn't matter as rain had the final say in all 3 matches.

Overall

2.5 Units Loss

15-Oct-2014 - Momentum One-Day Cup - Dolphins v Lions - In Play Tips

Dolphins @ 4/9 - 36 units

Odds for the Upcoming Matches

I have been browsing through the odds to check what the bookmakers are thinking of the upcoming matches. The odds are on expected lines, have a look.

International

17-Oct-2014 - India v West Indies - 4th ODI
India 4/9
West Indies 2/1

22-Oct-2014 – Pakistan v Australia – 1st Test
Pakistan 5/1
Draw 13/5
Australia 4/7

25-Oct-2014 – Bangladesh v Zimbabwe – 1st Test
Bangladesh 6/5
Draw 11/8
Zimbabwe 7/2

I have also got the odds for the 1st ODI of SL v ENG Series (Just to give you some idea)

26-Nov-2014 – Sri Lanka v England – 1st ODI
Sri Lanka 8/13
England 5/4




Domestic

Matador BBQs One-Day Cup

17-Oct-2014 - Victoria v New South Wales
Victoria 5/4
NSW 8/13

17-Oct-2014 - Western Australia v South Australia
WA 8/15 – Bet365
SA 13/8 - BetVictor


Tuesday 14 October 2014

15-Oct-2014 - Momentum One-Day Cup - Dolphins v Lions

Bet365 odds are on Dolphins @ 8/11 and Lions are @ 11/10

Both teams have won their previous matches. Dolphins chased down a mammoth 340 and Lions themselves have scored a 291 and defended it.

Dolphins batting depth is major difference between these teams. Also I would not underestimate Dolphins bowling as they have given away 340 in the previous match. That pitch was a batting paradise or you can very well say a bowler's nightmare.

Tip
Dolphins @ 8/11 - 1 unit.

15-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Tasmania v South Australia

The most inconsistent team of the tournament (Tasmania) and the team which doesn't know how to win (South Australia) are playing against each other.

Both have a good batting units and weak bowling units. If I have to compare these teams, SA are better in batting, Tasmania are better in their bowling.

But I could not trust any of these to put a convincing performance against the other.

Sydney has been a high scoring venue. So I think the team batting first to score big.

Tip
50 over runs - Over - 0.5 units.
The required runs will be updated once the markets open.

15-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - New South Wales v Western Australia

New South Wales (NSW) are with four wins in four matches, where Westerns (WAS) are three in three. Bet365 odds say that NSW are 8/15 and WAS are 6/4.

The bookmakers think NSW are much stronger than WAS, I think which is wrong. Take a look at the points table. NSW have 16 point in four matches (4x4) with no bonus points. But WAS are at 15 points from three matches, with two matches giving them bonus points (6+5+4).

This means one thing, NSW have depth to come out of tough situations, while WAS have outplayed the opposition.

Tip
Swing of fortunes. Pick WAS @ 6/4 and go In Play to Pick NSW @ 6/4 - 5 units. (Playing medium stakes)

Monday 13 October 2014

14-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Queensland v Victoria

I can see from the website stats that people are waiting for the update. Sorry for the slight delay.

OK, here we go then. Let's start somewhere different today. Patterns emerging in this tournament will make me decide about this match.

Pattern# 1
There are two reverse fixtures already completed.

NSW v QL - Both won by NSW
TAS v WAS - Both won by WAS

This match is the third reverse fixture. And the pattern should break somewhere and I think it's this match.

Pattern# 2
Chasing teams have won most matches this tournament, especially if it's a day match. And I expect this to continue at this time of the year. In day matches, teams batting first should struggle with the early morning swing and seam. But Sydney has been a exception. So bowling first is not a big advantage.

Pattern# 3
Australian domestic circuit matches are known for swing of fortunes. I have been tracking this behaviour for the past two BBLs. This is the safest method to play, where I made a mistake of not tipping very often. Just because I thought this sort of tip might not look like a tip, if I do it very often.

Tip
Odds or not favoring Victoria, But I'm thinking differently. Pick Victoria for 0.5 units pre-match @ 11/10. Also play for swing of fortunes 6/4 or 11/8 on both teams with bias towards Victoria - 1 to 2 units. I am expecting Victoria to struggle before winning. Also a small streak of favorites winning the match is occurring.

Both the bets mentioned above are advised.

12-13 Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

Matador BBQs cup has been repeatedly letting me down. Apart from that things are sailing smoothly. Lucky to escape the dreaded Pakistan v Australia match with a profit (Already match fixing claims have begun)




12-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Victoria v New South Wales

Tip
Play for the fortunes to swing.
6/4 on both teams - 1 unit (In-Play) - Won




12-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Queensland v South Australia

Tip
Avoid. (There is a very slight advantage on QLD, if anyone still want to play) - QLD won




12-Oct-2014 - Pakistan v Australia 3rd ODI

Tip
Avoid - Things aren't adding up. Anyways a good profit has been already made in this series. Wait for the Test Series for more opportunities.

If you still want to enter, play very small stakes on Australia. Don't play big stakes. Lot of risk involved.

Update
Misbah is not playing, Afridi is captaining. Go with Australia, read my Stat-Attack# 3 for more info.

Australia @ 2/5 - 5 units - Won




12-Oct-2014 - In-Play Tips

NSW @2/11-11 units - Won

Pakistan @ 4/9 -18 units - Lost
Pakistan @ 1/10 - 30 units - Lost
Cover Australia 16/1 - 3 units - Won




13-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Tasmania v Western Australia

Tip
Tasmania have started their chase of 268 brightly. Tasmania @ 2/5 - 5 units - Lost




Overall
0.5+2+2+48-18-30-5= -0.5 Units Loss

Sunday 12 October 2014

13-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Tasmania v Western Australia

I'll be taking a decision about this match only after the first innings ends.

Tip
Tasmania have started their chase of 268 brightly. Tasmania @ 2/5 - 5 units

12-Oct-2014 - 3rd ODI - Pakistan v Australia - In-Play Tips

Pakistan @ 4/9 -18 units

Just 80 needed now.
Pakistan @ 1/10 - 30 units

2 off 6 balls, cover Australia 16/1 - 3 units

Saturday 11 October 2014

12-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Victoria v New South Wales - In-Play Tips

NSW @2/11-11 units

12-Oct-2014 - 3rd ODI - Pakistan v Australia

12-Oct-2014 - 3rd ODI - Pakistan v Australia

If you take the last 2 series between Australia and Pakistan in UAE, Pakistan had won at least one match (3-2, 2-1 were the score lines). They were whitewashed (5-0) only when they travelled to Australia.

Eventhough Australia looks like an easy pick, in the last two ODIs Pakistan pushed them for short periods of time. And then simply threw it away. The desert heat, sub continent advantage and history between these two teams is not allowing me to write off Pakistan.

Tip
Avoid - Things aren't adding up. Anyways a good profit has been already made in this series. Wait for the Test Series for more opportunities.

If you still want to enter, play very small stakes on Australia. Don't play big stakes. Lot of risk involved.


Update
Misbah is not playing, Afridi is captaining. Go with Australia, read my Stat-Attack# 3 for more info.

Australia @ 2/5 - 5 units.

12-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Queensland v South Australia

Battle of the most inconsistent teams of this tournament. Both need to win this match to stay alive in this tournament.

Tip
Avoid. (There is a very slight advantage on QLD, if anyone still want to play)

12-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup - Victoria v New South Wales

NSW have 3 wins on the trot. But the tournament favorites Victoria are on a roller coaster ride.

The unpredictable Wooloongabba pitch is out of the picture now. So tough fight on the cards.

Tip
Play for the fortunes to swing.
6/4 on both teams - 1 unit (In-Play)

11-Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

Tasmania v Western Australia
Tasmania @ 4/5 - 0.5 units - Lost

India v West Indies

The odds over 3/1 was never really available on WI until they imploded all of a sudden to lose the match. So no cover was made.

India @ 2/5 - 2.5 units. Cover on West Indies above 3/1 - Won

Insights
Samuels v Rayudu - Lost

Overall
-0.5-1+1=-0.5 Units Loss

Friday 10 October 2014

11-Oct-2014 - 2nd ODI - India v West Indies - More Insights

As of now one pre-match market has caught my eye.

Ambati Rayudu has been woefully out of form in the CL T20, which severely depleted the Mumbai Indians' middle order strength. He didn't make a great impact in the first ODI too. Rayudu is known for his prolonged form issues in the domestic circuit. I don't think he will discover his form sooner.

On the other hand Marlon Samuels is on red hot form

Batsman Match Bet - Marlon Samuels v Ambati Rayudu -
Marlon Samuels @ 5/6 - 1 unit - BetVictor

More to follow...

11-Oct-2014 - 2nd ODI - India v West Indies

The first ODI of the series was a party pooper. It spoilt the 10$-10000$ challenge as well (I'll reboot it soon).

In the previous ODI's analysis I have mentioned that, the West Indies squad, when it was announced, sounded pretty good to me after many years. I just went with Indian team only after WI's practice match performances were bad. Even when 322 was set as target, I thought, with smaller boundaries in Kochi ground and dew factor Indians will win.

Indian team is made of many players from Chennai Super Kings. As this series begins after CL T20 fatigue is a huge concern, already Mohit Sharma is injured and out of this series.

Also the opening and middle order players are not looking in good form, Dhawan, Kohli and Rayudu has to step up. Spin department's unacceptable performance is a huge concern.

West Indies bowling department isn't as threatening as it looks based on the previous match scorecard. Indian batsman just threw their wickets away. But their batting department really is threatening.

Tip
To be posted after toss.

Update
Pick India @ 2/5 - 2.5 units. Cover on West Indies above 3/1.

11-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup Tips

Tasmania v Western Australia

Both teams have good bowling units. But there is a hidden problem that both have. There is no 6th bowler who can take 5-6 overs of burden.

The only distinguishing factor is that, Tasmania's batting order has depth. This makes me go with them for this match. I am also a bit over-confident of Tasmania's abilities.

Tip
Tasmania @ 4/5 - .5 units - Betvictor

10-Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

New South Wales v Queensland
After a disappointing beginning to the Matador One-Day cup, things are beginning to show improvement. Thanks to NSW team, the tip has landed as they chased the required 244 runs.

Tip
Chasing team to win - 1 unit - Won @ 1/1



Pakistan v Australia 2nd ODI
Australian domestic circuit might have been disappointing, Australian international team is not. Tip after tip has landed this series.

I covered with 6/5 on Australia with 1.35 units. So whatever happened, I would end up with 0.65 units profit. Just before the start of 26th over, Australia were priced around 6/4. Congrats for people who made better profits.

Tip
Pick Pakistan @ 2/1 - 1 unit. Cover on Australia starting from Evens - Won



In-Play Tip
Australia @ 8/15 - 30 units - Won



Overall
1+0.65+16=17.65 Units profit

10-Oct-2014 - 2nd ODI - Pakistan v Australia - In-Play Tips

Australia 79/3 chasing 216.

Pick Australia @ 8/15 - 30 units




Australia 157/4 @ 1/20. Nice odds for a sure Australia win.

Thursday 9 October 2014

10-Oct-2014 - 2nd ODI - Pakistan v Australia

My opinions which are posted for the first ODI has not changed one bit yet. So I don't want to rewrite things again. Only notable exception was Steven Smith's performance.

But there is a slight modification to the tip.

Tip

Pick Pakistan @ 2/1 - 1 unit. Cover on Australia starting from Evens

10-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup Tips

New South Wales v Queensland

This is match is played at Woolloongabba. Looks like
there are two pitches available. One is a bowlers heaven, while the other is a batting paradise. I'm not sure which is going to be used tomorrow.

As for the odds NSW are at evens and QLD are at 4/5.

Whatever the case, chasing teams hold an advantage. Also early morning swing makes things tougher for the team batting first. All 3 matches played here are won by the chasing team.

Tip
Chasing team to win - 1 unit.

09-Oct-2014 - Update

Due to my health condition I could not post In-Play tips, Insights or any important info I wanted to share for the past two days.

Normal service will resume from today :)

I would love to write in detail about the losses yesterday. But still my body is not responding well to do lengthy activities. Will update as soon as possible.

Even though it's a major drop, Bank is still sitting comfortably with 35 units profit.

Wednesday 8 October 2014

08-Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

South Australia v Western Australia - Avoid

Tasmania v Victoria - Victoria @ 8/13 - 5 units - Lost

India v West Indies - India @ 2/5 - 10 Units - Lost

Overall
-5-10= -15 Units Loss

Tuesday 7 October 2014

08-Oct-2014 - 1st ODI - India v West Indies

I am totally confused, whether I should analyse this match or not! But looking at the events right now. I'm going to keep it to a minimum.

Indians are a happy bunch. They made a turn around in England. They are playing in home conditions. Their out of form players are returning to form.

West Indies are coming to India after defeating Bangladesh convincingly. West Indies squad, when it was announced, sounded pretty good to me after many years.

Oh my God! how wrong I was to think this team will give trouble to Indian team in India. They were all out 149 in a practice match against India A and the target was shot down with more than 20 overs to spare.

Going in with large stakes, as I think, West Indies don't have a chance against full strength India squad.

Tip
India @ 2/5 - 10 Units - BetVictor.com

08-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup Tips

Only the tips for the matches on 08-Oct. I couldn't post an analysis today. Please bear with me.

South Australia v Western Australia - Avoid

Tasmania v Victoria - Victoria @ 8/13 - 5 units

07-Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

I took a contrarian view to this match. But I was slightly worried after Australia posted 255. Pakistan in the last 2 years chased a score above 240 only twice.

As advised I tried to cover Aussies at a higher price, which I managed at 8/11. Around the 9th over it went as high as 10/11. After that it was purely Australian domination.

No loss was made, but no profits either. Congratulations to the ones who managed better odds to end in a profit.

Tip

Pick Pakistan @ 15/8 - 1 unit. Cover when higher odds are available with the Aussies

Monday 6 October 2014

07-Oct-2014 - 1st ODI - Pakistan v Australia

After convincingly defeating Pakistan in the only T20I, Aussies are facing them confidently in the first ODI.

Pakistan teams' problem is not in their quality, they are just not sure who should play which role. With Misbah back in the squad, he can bring stability to this side.

Except Warner everyone else struggled in the T20I. Only Glen Maxwell reached double figures. In my opinion he is slowly becoming the next Afridi. He wants to hit only sixes or gets out. He doesn't understand the current situation of the game. This approach won't help in UAE pitches. Except Warner and Bailey I can't pinpoint any other Australian batsman, who has the technique or temperament to play in UAE. This is the most worrying factor for the Aussies.

ODI format needs you to apply yourself for a longer periods of time. UAE heat will only compound this issue for the Aussies. 30-35 overs of spin is a different ball game.

Tip

Pick Pakistan @ 15/8 - 1 unit. Cover when higher odds are available with the Aussies.

MrCricketTipster’s 10$ to 10000$ Challenge – Match# 4

Match# 3 of the Challenge [Chennai Super Kings v Kolkata Knight Riders] also landed and the challenge moves on to its 4th match.

The match is first ODI of India v West Indies series on 8th October

India @ 2/5 – 23.45$ [BetVictor]




History of the Bets

Match# 1 – Chennai Super Kings v Lahore Lions

Chennai Super Kings @ 2/5 – 10$ – Void = 10$

Match# 2 – Kolkata Knight Riders v Hobart Hurricanes

Kolkata Knight Riders @ 8/15 – 10$ – Won = 15.33$

Match# 3 – Chennai Super Kings v Kolkata Knight Riders

Chennai Super Kings @ 8/15 – 15.33$ – Won = 23.45$

06-Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

myFootDr Queensland Bulls v New South Wales Blues

I thought avoiding this match would make sense. Finally it made a lot of sense. The game is not as  straightforward as the scorecard reads.

QLD slumped from 70/1 to 84/5. The sixth wicket partnership made some recovery. Still they ended with 190 on the board. With a small total to chase NSW were struggling at 96/5. Their sixth wicket partnership made the difference between the two teams.

Tip - Avoid

Commonwealth Bank Bushrangers v South Australia Redbacks

I handpicked this match after my Matador cup tips for the first two matches lost. It turned out to be a huge surprise.

Don't play Shaun Tait - check. South Australian team's batting is good - check. Victoria's batting order is wrong - check.

For first 80 overs, I was very confident of a SA win. Some wayward bowling or Hussey's aggressive batting or both shifted the match completely into Victoria's hands.

Tip - South Australia – 6/5 – 0.5 Units - Lost

Stat-Attack #3 - What to Expect from Shahid Afridi!

Hafeez, Younis Khan, Misbah, Razzaq, Ajmal, Umar Gul, Shoaib Akthar - Note down these 7 names before I begin my Stat-Attack# 3.


 


This Stat-Attack is going to concentrate on how to pick a Winner just by one factor i.e The Captain (In this case Shahid Afridi of Pakistan). I am someone who is always against picking Captains just by their Celebrity status. Pakistan board has done it again by picking Afridi for the Australia Series (Or do they have any other choice!).


Afridi has captained Pakistan in 34 ODIS. He has won 18, Lost 15 and 1 match ended with No Result. If you consider only the stronger teams (Removing matches against Bangladesh, Canada, Kenya and Zimbabwe) the Win-Loss ratio translates to 14:15. The West Indies team have been performing poorly for the past decade. Against them he has a Win-Loss ratio of 5:2. If I remove these figures too, then the Win-Loss ratio stands at 9:13.



His T20 performance also mirrors his ODI performance. He has a 8:12 WL ratio.

Coming back to the first line of the article. Throughout the period Afridi captained Pakistan (2009-2011), all the 7 players contributed heavily in the wins. While coming to the losses some of these were missing in many of these matches [There is only one match where 6 of these played together, Pakistan lost]. The notable exclusions are Misbah and Younis in Batting, Gul and Ajmal in Bowling. Whenever these players were missing the corresponding department failed heavily and jeopardized the team's cause.


In the current squad announced against Australia now Ajmal, Hafeez, Younis are missing. They may spring surprises with their Bowling department, but the batting department looks completely empty. With a Captain like Afridi, I think it is better to side always with the opposition. He is not a Captain who can inspire this sort of a team given to him towards victories. Afridi himself is a batsman who never understands what the present scenario of the match and how he should bat. Same way while bowling too, if you take any Pakistani Captain, they try over bowl themselves and Afridi is no exception.



Note:
Afridi is only the captain for T20s. This article is written with the idea that he may be handed over with the ODI Captainship also.

06-Oct-2014 – Matador BBQs One-Day Cup – Match# 4 – Victoria v South Australia

06-Oct-2014 – Matador BBQs One-Day Cup – Match# 4

Commonwealth Bank Bushrangers v South Australia Redbacks

While the previous match winners are facing off in the 3rd match, the losers are playing the 4th match.

I got the odds from tomwaterhouse.com, as most of the major bookmakers haven’t shared the odds yet. The odds gave me a bit of an odd feeling:).  Victoria after receiving a proper trashing are @ 4/6 and South Australia are @ 6/5.

While giving the predictions for the previous match also I felt Victoria’s batting strength is weaker. It has just got compounded by batsmen playing in wrong batting positions and bad form.

South Australia should not persist with Shaun Tait. The way he has been handled by the opposition batsmen makes me think that, South Australia should replace him immediately. Apart from that issue, I still think South Australia has the ability to beat Victoria.

Tip

South Australia – 6/5 – 0.5 Units

06-Oct-2014 – Matador BBQs One-Day Cup – Match# 3 – Queensland v NSW

06-Oct-2014 – Matador BBQs One-Day Cup – Match# 3

myFootDr Queensland Bulls v New South Wales Blues

Queensland trashed Victoria in their previous match, NSW defeated South Australia. The winners are facing off against each other in the 3rd Match. The balance of both the teams looks equal. NSW played their previous match also in Brisbane. So they know the ground conditions better than QLD.

It is very tough to predict a team with clear advantage. So I would advise to avoid this match.

Tip

Avoid

05-Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

Australians trashed Pakistan in the Only T20I. I thought this match will set the tone for the entire series. Now, I think I'm partially right.

 

Australians will be reinforced with a good set of players for the ODI series. But applying yourself for 50 overs is a different game. More than anything, I would like to see how the Australians cope up with the UAE heat and maintain their fitness throughout the series.

Match Tip

Australia @ 8/13 - 0.5 Units - Won - +0.31 Units Profit

05-Oct-2014 - Only T20 International - Pakistan v Australia - Tips

The only T20I at Dubai, initiates the Australia's tour to Pakistan [UAE]. With Saeed Ajmal missing from the squad, Australians are favorites with the bookmakers.

As per BetVictor odds for the match Australians are @ 8/13, after the initial odds being @ 4/7. This is primarily because, Australians are having a slight shortage of players to choose the right combination of 11 players required. In fact they have only 10 players to choose the 11. In the 13 member squad announced 3 are occupied in CL T20. And Mitchell Marsh is ruled out because of an injury. Looks like only Cameron Boyce of Hobart Hurricanes will make it back. The backup resources must be picked from the ODI squad members.

I thought that the Australians had an excellent chance to win the match. But with Maxwell and Cummins unavailable and Pakistan holding the sub-continent advantage I'm not thoroughly convinced.

Going to use this match as an indicator for this series. Going with the favorites with small stakes, just because the Pakistani team's selection hasn't impressed me.

Tip
Australia @ 8/13 - 0.5 Units - BetVictor

Saturday 4 October 2014

04-Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

Yesterday was a mixed day. CL T20 ended with a bang, but Matador BBQs One-Day cup didn't start well.

CLT20

Chennai Super Kings @ 8/15 - 5 Units - Won

Matador One-Day Cup

Victoria @ 4/5 - 0.5 Units - Lost
South Australia @ 1/1 - 0.5 Units - Lost

Overall
2.66-0.5-0.5=1.66 units profit.

Friday 3 October 2014

04-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup 2014 - Match# 2 - New South Wales Blues (NSW) v South Australia Redbacks (SA)

 

BetVictor odds:

NSW @ 4/5

SA @ Evens [1/1]

 

NSW are missing many players to International and CL T20 duties or injuries [Haddin, Warner, Starc, Lyon, Watson and Clarke]. Expecting  a surprise here.

 

Tip

South Australia Redbacks @ 1/1 - 0.5 Units

 

04-Oct-2014 - Matador BBQs One-Day Cup 2014 - Match# 1 - myFootDr Queensland Bulls (Queensland) v Commonwealth Bank Bushrangers (Victoria)

As per BetVictor odds Queensland are @ Evens and Victoria are @ 4/5.

 

Victorians are looking slightly short on Batting and Queenslanders look slightly short on Bowling.

 

This is just the beginning stage of the tournament and it is going to be played at just two venues. So I would like to watch the first few games before betting bigger stakes.

 

Tip

I think Victorians have enough to win against Queensland. Starting with small stakes.

Victoria @ 4/5 - 0.5 Units

 

MrCricketTipster's 10$ to 10000$ Challenge - Match# 3

Match# 2 of the Challenge [Kolkata Knight Riders v Hobart Hurricanes] landed after Match# 1 got washed out.

So the challenge moves on to its third match, which is the Final of the Champions League T20.


 

Chennai Super Kings @ 8/15 - 15.33$ [LadBrokes]




History of the Bets


Match# 1 - Chennai Super Kings v Lahore Lions

Chennai Super Kings @ 2/5 - 10$ - Void = 10$

Match# 2 - Kolkata Knight Riders v Hobart Hurricanes -

Kolkata Knight Riders @ 8/15 - 10$ - Won = 15.33$




 

04-Oct-2014 - Cl T20 - Final - Chennai Super Kings v Kolkata Knight Riders

Kolkata's hopes of winning the CL T20 had taken a major blow, as Sunil Narine has been banned from bowling in the Final.

Kolkata fans are defending their team saying that Narine has leaked runs in all the finals he played, but his teams still won.

I don't find this argument valid. Even though he has gone for some runs, he has bowled all his 4 overs. When the World's best T20 spinner goes for runs like these, think about any other bowler. The other point Kolkata fans are missing is, CSK is looking for any weakness in Kolkata's armour to break their winning streak. Yesterday Chennai managed to find it against Punjab and broke Punjab's winning streak against them. With Sunil Narine missing there is no one to stop Chennai's late charge.

Tip

CSK @ 8/15 - 5 Units - Ladbrokes.Com

Thursday 2 October 2014

02-Oct-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

Match Tip

Match# 1
Kolkata Knight Riders @ 8/15 - 5 Units - Won

Match# 2
Swing of Fortunes. Both Teams @ 6/4 during In-Play - 2 Units - Won

In-Play Tips

KKR @ 2/9 - 9 Units - Won
CSK @ 1/8 - 32 Units - Won

Overall

2.66+1+2+4= 9.66 Units

02-Oct-2014 - CSK v KXIP - In-Play Tips

Punjab 34/4. Pick Chennai @ 1/8 - 32 Units.

02-Oct-2014 - KKR v HH - In-Play Tips

KKR @ 2/9 - 9 Units

Hobart - 77/4 now.

Is ESPNCricInfo Copying Info From My Articles!!

I have been reading some of the previews/reviews published by ESPNCricinfo, after I have published my Analysis and Tips in my blog. And I was so surprised to see many similarities between my analysis and ESPNCricinfo's.

You can compare the articles below:

My Article - http://mrcrickettipster.wordpress.com/2014/10/02/02-oct-2014-cl-t20-kolkata-knight-riders-v-hobart-hurricanes/
Cricinfo Article - http://www.espncricinfo.com/champions-league-twenty20-2014/content/story/786337.html

My Article - http://mrcrickettipster.wordpress.com/2014/09/19/20-sep-2014-cl-t20-kings-xi-punjab-v-barbados-tridents/

CricInfo Article - http://www.espncricinfo.com/champions-league-twenty20-2014/content/story/782693.html

I get a lot of stats/info that I require from ESPNCricinfo. So I have no complaints even if they have copied some lines from my articles. If that's true, I am feeling really proud the fact that, World's #1 Cricket Information site refers my articles. Or if it is a pure coincidence then I feel I'm in par with some of the best Cricket Analysts in the World.

Wednesday 1 October 2014

02-Oct-2014 - CL T20 - Chennai Super Kings v Kings XI Punjab

Semi-Final# 2 of CL T20 - Chennai Super kings v Kings XI Punjab.

Powerful batting units and weak bowling units. Batsmen have a hard time of converting their starts to big scores. But still the scorecard ends always with 160+ totals.

I started having a strange feeling about this match today afternoon, once I saw Bet365 changing CSKs odds to 8/11 from 4/5. So do the bookmakers think  Chennai is that powerful? I don't really want to predict.

KXIP have won all their matches in Mohali. Both are travelling to Hyderabad. But Chennai is on a losing streak against Punjab and KKR. Whenever they were on such a streak they bounced back strongly.

So I identified a different stat to come to a conclusion to this match tip. All the major T20 leagues' (IPL, BBL, Ram-Slam)  Semi-Finals had both the teams @ 6/4 odds, some point in the game. So I expect the same to happen here.

 

Tip

Swing of Fortunes. Both Teams @ 6/4 during In-Play - 2 Units.

MrCricketTipster's 10$ to 10000$ Challenge - Match# 2

Match# 1 of the Challenge [Chennai Super Kings v Lahore Lions] got washed out because of rain.

So the challenge moves on to its second match, which is the 1st Semi-Final of the Champions League T20.


 

Kolkata Knight Riders @ 8/15 - 10$ [WilliamHill, LadBrokes]

02-Oct-2014 - CL T20 - Kolkata Knight Riders v Hobart Hurricanes

Semi-Final# 1 of CL T20 kicks off with Kolkata v Hobart.

 

There are many similarities between these teams. Both teams have problem areas in their batting line up to address. Both the teams expect their best spinner to spearhead the attack [Narine and Doherty]. Both teams have an important batsman coming back to form [Pandey for KKR and Malik for Hobart].

Hobart have posted their highest score in this tournament [186 in 19 overs while chasing 185], against Cobras in this venue [Uppal Stadium]. But KKR have won 4 out of 4 matches here. They have stopped their 3 oppositions to exactly 151. Even the powerful Chennai Super Kings line-up could only get 157 against them.

Gambhir, Kallis and Ten doeschate are out of form. Yusuf Pathan hasn't got many chances to showcase his form. This is the only worry KKR have. Already Uthappa and Pandey in good form, if any one of these 3 batsmen make a good score, it's bad news for Hobart.

 

Tip

Kolkata Knight Riders @ 8/15 - 5 Units - WilliamHill.Com

September-2014 - Review of Bank and Tips

Profit Status


From now on I would like to show the review of my Bank 15 days once, since it is affecting the time required to analyze the stats.

The first month [Actually speaking it's 2/3rd of a month] ends with 38.68 Units or 19.34% Profit.
























13-28 Sep29-Sep30-SepTotal
Pre-Match Tip15.84-1.000.5015.34
In-Play13.602.167.5823.34

 

So, The Bank stands at 119.34$ at the end of September.




Match Prediction Stats


This month I covered 26 CL T20 matches, Royal London one-Day Cup Final and West Indies v Bangladesh 2nd Test.

Here's how the Match Predictions have performed.







































Total matches28
Avoided4
Void1
No Result1
Sub Total22
Tips Won18
Tips Lost4
Win %81.82%

Good Luck for your bets in October.

Odds For The Upcoming Matches

I have got the odds for the Upcoming Matches from Bet365




 

Champions League T20

02-Oct-2014 - Semi-Final# 1 - Hobart Hurricanes v Kolkata Knight Riders


Hobart Hurricanes - 13/8

Kolkata Knight Riders - 1/2


02-Oct-2014 - Semi-Final# 2 - Kings XI Punjab v Chennai Super Kings


Kings XI Punjab - 1/1

Chennai Super Kings - 4/5





Matador BBQs One-Day Cup

04-Oct-2014 - Match# 1 - New South Wales v South Australia


New South Wales - 4/5

South Australia - 1/1





 

Pakistan v Australia Series

05-Oct-2014 - Only T20 International - Pakistan v Australia


Pakistan - 11/8

Australia - 4/7




 

30-Sep-2014 - Review of Tips and Suggestions

Apologies for not posting the In-Play tips for the Match 2 for some time. I had some connectivity issues yesterday.

 

Match Tip

Match# 1 - Lahore Lions v Perth Scorchers


Play for swing of fortunes @ 2/1 on both teams In-Play. 1 unit - Won - +1 Unit

Match# 2 - Barbados Tridents v Northern Districts


If you get the above said odds on match 1 play the same again for Match 2 with 0.5 units. Otherwise increase the units to 2.5 (Martingale) - I don't know whether Barbados were ever @ 2/1 because I couldn't check the odds. So I'd consider this as 0.5 Units Loss.




Insights

Lahore Lions

7th Over Runs – Odd/Even – Even – 1 Unit - Won - +0.83 Units

15th Over Runs – Odd/Even – Even – 1 Unit - Lost - -1 Units

Perth Scorchers

Ashton Turner – Dismissal method – Caught – 1/2 – 0.5 Units - Won - +0.25 Units




In-Play Tip

Match# 1 - Lahore Lions v Perth Scorchers

Lahore Lions Total Runs – Over 133.5 – 2 Units - Lost - -2 Units

Lahore Lions @ 4/1 – 0.5 Units - Lost - -0.5 Units

Perth @ 1/8 – 24 units - Won - +3 Units

Perth @ 1/5 – 5 units - Won - +1 Units

Match# 2 - Barbados Tridents v Northern Districts

Barbados @ 2/7 – 21 units - Won - +6 Units




Overall

1-0.5+0.83-1+0.25-2-0.5+3+1+6 = 8.08 units profit