16-Sep-2014 - CL T20 - Tips

I have got the odds for the 16th Sep 2014 matches from BetVictor.

And I have decided to place the tips for both the matches together

Match # 1 - Lahore Lions v Southern Express

LL have played their matches as expected. Too unpredictable batting, too undependable fielding. The only thing they have done well is their bowling. But SE have somehow created chances with their batting and fielding in their matches. Only their bowling has let them down in both the matches. But LL has a win against their name which SE doesn't.

So two equal teams playing against each other. Right!!

Wrong. The bookmakers do not think so. LL are @ 8/15 and SE are @ 6/4.

Match # 2 - Mumbai Indians v Northern Districts


If a most unpredictable team award is given in this CL T20 then MI are right on top competing with LL.

Already I am seeing a war of words about Pollard's Captaincy between MI supporters and others. But in this battle I will join the others.

1) Pollard is playing 1 batsman short repeatedly.

2) The right choice of 4 international players can never be found in his team (Simmons, Hussey - Both Openers; Pollard, C Anderson - Hard Hitting All-Rounders; Malinga, De Lange - Fast Bowlers). With Malinga, Pollard cementing their places, Anderson and De Lange are bound to be left out. If Simmons or Hussey fail to deliver in this match, there sits a problem middle order.

3) Why Shreyas Gopal replaced Praveen Kumar? If Pollard wanted to play an extra bowler why can't you drop Hussey (He may have found his touch in his batting, but his fielding is not upto the mark, which he may never improve because of his age). Bring an Indian batsman in and bring the all-rounder Corey Anderson.  [But going with my strategy also has its risks. What if Simmons fails! Look at point 2]

If I had to defend Pollard I would say he's just been given a wrong team. The bowling worries also need a mention here. Ojha after seeing some dropped catches went of the radar [I still prefer him as the best bowler of MI]. Harbhajan started well ended poorly. Shreyas Gopal gave too many runs. Oh don't the MI miss Praveen Kumar already. Only Malinga is his usual self.

The ND are booming with their confidence on the other hand. One factor I could not see is how really are they handling spin bowling. They were efficiently 60/4 if Akmal held on to that catch. Then they went on to 148/3. Thwarted Rasool with some sweeps who lost his confidence by witnessing dropped catches. Their first match was a 10 over affair, so nothing much can be inferred. But overall I think they are slightly struggling against spin which is not completely evident.

Update
Pawan Suyal replaces injured Praveen Kumar.

Again looking at the odds

MI are @ 4/7 and ND are @ 11/8

Tip

Both the odds on the favourites are looking too short for me. So I am taking a contrarian call.

1 Unit on ND @ 11/8

1 Unit on SE @ 6/4

The Bank is currently up by 4.5 Units. So these two bets are worth the risk.

If any one of the bets win then its a profitable day. If one thinks this is risky play for very low stakes