08-Dec-14 - Pakistan v New Zealand - Cricket Betting Tips

1st ODI - Pakistan v New Zealand
Dubai
08-Dec, 11:00 GMT







Warning: If you are a Pakistani patriot, don't read this preview. This blog is about making money in gambling. Sentiments doesn't work here.

Let's start the discussion from Dubai. 13 matches in last 6 years. Pakistan had won 5 and lost 8. They have never chased anything in last 3 years here. All Pakistan wins look like they've come at the age of the dinosaurs.

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Hafeez: Banned from bowling now. Can't play as an all rounder. You can't remove him as a batsman as he is in good form. But Pakistan have only 5 bowling options then. Misbah, Younis, Sarfraz, Akmal, Shehzad don't bowl anyway. If something goes wrong, the umpire has to bowl as a part timer? Well done PCB. You've screwed your team big time before the World Cup.

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Misbah and Younis (And Akmal and Afridi): Any kids here remember the Ajay Jadeja and Robin Singh days for India. In late 90s and early 00s, Indians used to chase targets around 220-250 with a high professionalism, if Tendulkar gets out early. A batting collapse will leave them at 20-50 runs for the loss of 4 wickets. Then Jadeja and Singh will rebuild at a run rate, you won't see in test matches even. Then India will lose by 30-50 runs. We all go sleep happily saying, at least the shame was avoided.

Copy and Paste it. Change the shirt color from Blue to Green. You get Misbah and Younis. Pakistan falter at chases because of this reason. Their over cautious approach makes the required rate jump very quickly. You can't blame them much either. As Akmal can be very inconsistent. Afridi will be following Akmal. What God's gift Afridi has received! He can completely remove his brain and keep it in a shelf when he is batting.

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Jokes and digs apart. Let's talk something professional here.

Always back the teams batting first to win in UAE. Chasing will generally be very tough if dew doesn't come. And Pakistan haven't won anything chasing in the recent years as well (Not only this ground. Anywhere)

Sarfraz and Hafeez in Batting, Babar and Afridi in Bowling; others aren't very convincing.

New Zealand's problems are quite different. Both their regular openers are not there. Ross Taylor's form has dipped again. But they bat deep. If Corey Anderson is allowed to play, their lower middle order will be very strong. Finding the right mix and match then organizing it in order is a tough challenge.

Tip
New Zealand @ 13/10 - 1$ - Ladbrokes

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Bank as of 07-Dec: 204.21$